**Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account has maintained a steady cadence of official announcements, event promotions, public-safety alerts, and engagement content since taking office in January 2026.** Over the June 5–12 window, this pattern—roughly six to eight posts per day on average—has aligned closely with the 40–59 bracket that now carries 99.7% implied probability. Traders have priced in the administration’s routine use of the platform for heat advisories, cultural celebrations, Knicks-related messaging, and program enrollments, with no major breaking events or disruptions observed to push volume outside the band. A sudden escalation in citywide developments or an abrupt pause in posting could still shift the final tally, but the established rhythm through the resolution period has produced the current near-certainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 5 al 12 de junio de 2026?
¿El alcalde de Nueva York # publica del 5 al 12 de junio de 2026?
40-59 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
60-79 <1%
$10,948 Vol.
$10,948 Vol.
12 jun 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
Sí
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200+
No
40-59 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
60-79 <1%
$10,948 Vol.
$10,948 Vol.
12 jun 2026
<20
$695 Vol.
No
20-39
$682 Vol.
No
40-59
$1,915 Vol.
Sí
60-79
$2,325 Vol.
No
80-99
$830 Vol.
No
100-119
$1,140 Vol.
No
120-139
$712 Vol.
No
140-159
$686 Vol.
No
160-179
$876 Vol.
No
180-199
$556 Vol.
No
200+
$531 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account has maintained a steady cadence of official announcements, event promotions, public-safety alerts, and engagement content since taking office in January 2026.** Over the June 5–12 window, this pattern—roughly six to eight posts per day on average—has aligned closely with the 40–59 bracket that now carries 99.7% implied probability. Traders have priced in the administration’s routine use of the platform for heat advisories, cultural celebrations, Knicks-related messaging, and program enrollments, with no major breaking events or disruptions observed to push volume outside the band. A sudden escalation in citywide developments or an abrupt pause in posting could still shift the final tally, but the established rhythm through the resolution period has produced the current near-certainty.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$10,948Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account has maintained a steady cadence of official announcements, event promotions, public-safety alerts, and engagement content since taking office in January 2026.** Over the June 5–12 window, this pattern—roughly six to eight posts per day on average—has aligned closely with the 40–59 bracket that now carries 99.7% implied probability. Traders have priced in the administration’s routine use of the platform for heat advisories, cultural celebrations, Knicks-related messaging, and program enrollments, with no major breaking events or disruptions observed to push volume outside the band. A sudden escalation in citywide developments or an abrupt pause in posting could still shift the final tally, but the established rhythm through the resolution period has produced the current near-certainty.
This market will resolve according to the number of times NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani (@NYCMayor), posts on X between June 5, 12:00 PM ET and June 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$10,948Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Zohran Mamdani’s official @NYCMayor account has maintained a steady cadence of official announcements, event promotions, public-safety alerts, and engagement content since taking office in January 2026.** Over the June 5–12 window, this pattern—roughly six to eight posts per day on average—has aligned closely with the 40–59 bracket that now carries 99.7% implied probability. Traders have priced in the administration’s routine use of the platform for heat advisories, cultural celebrations, Knicks-related messaging, and program enrollments, with no major breaking events or disruptions observed to push volume outside the band. A sudden escalation in citywide developments or an abrupt pause in posting could still shift the final tally, but the established rhythm through the resolution period has produced the current near-certainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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