Recent U.S. rejection of Iran's counterproposal on May 11, which President Trump labeled unacceptable, has entrenched trader expectations that a comprehensive nuclear agreement will not be reached by June 30. Core disputes remain unresolved over the duration of any uranium enrichment moratorium, with Washington seeking 12-20 years alongside snap inspections and curbs on underground facilities, while Tehran insists on shorter restrictions tied to sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access. New U.S. sanctions and stalled indirect talks mediated in Islamabad and Geneva underscore the limited window for finalizing verifiable limits, leaving the implied probability of no deal dominant amid persistent escalation risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Un acuerdo nuclear entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el 30 de junio?
¿Un acuerdo nuclear entre Estados Unidos e Irán para el 30 de junio?
Sí
$1,855,374 Vol.
$1,855,374 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$1,855,374 Vol.
$1,855,374 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S. rejection of Iran's counterproposal on May 11, which President Trump labeled unacceptable, has entrenched trader expectations that a comprehensive nuclear agreement will not be reached by June 30. Core disputes remain unresolved over the duration of any uranium enrichment moratorium, with Washington seeking 12-20 years alongside snap inspections and curbs on underground facilities, while Tehran insists on shorter restrictions tied to sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access. New U.S. sanctions and stalled indirect talks mediated in Islamabad and Geneva underscore the limited window for finalizing verifiable limits, leaving the implied probability of no deal dominant amid persistent escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Mercado abierto: Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ET
Volumen
$1,855,374Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S. rejection of Iran's counterproposal on May 11, which President Trump labeled unacceptable, has entrenched trader expectations that a comprehensive nuclear agreement will not be reached by June 30. Core disputes remain unresolved over the duration of any uranium enrichment moratorium, with Washington seeking 12-20 years alongside snap inspections and curbs on underground facilities, while Tehran insists on shorter restrictions tied to sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access. New U.S. sanctions and stalled indirect talks mediated in Islamabad and Geneva underscore the limited window for finalizing verifiable limits, leaving the implied probability of no deal dominant amid persistent escalation risks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Volumen
$1,855,374Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 17, 2025, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. rejection of Iran's counterproposal on May 11, which President Trump labeled unacceptable, has entrenched trader expectations that a comprehensive nuclear agreement will not be reached by June 30. Core disputes remain unresolved over the duration of any uranium enrichment moratorium, with Washington seeking 12-20 years alongside snap inspections and curbs on underground facilities, while Tehran insists on shorter restrictions tied to sanctions relief and Strait of Hormuz access. New U.S. sanctions and stalled indirect talks mediated in Islamabad and Geneva underscore the limited window for finalizing verifiable limits, leaving the implied probability of no deal dominant amid persistent escalation risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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