Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations to resolve the conflict remain stalled over Tehran's nuclear program, with Iranian officials rejecting demands for a complete halt to uranium enrichment by June 30 and instead proposing supervised limits, dilution of existing stockpiles to lower levels, or limited transfers under strict conditions. Recent diplomatic exchanges, including statements from Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on postponing stockpile discussions and U.S. openness to temporary pauses of 10-20 years, highlight persistent gaps on verification, sovereignty, and facility retention. These factors sustain trader consensus that an agreement ending enrichment within the narrow timeframe is unlikely, though scheduled talks and potential breakthroughs in related issues like Strait of Hormuz access could still shift positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de junio?
¿Irán acuerda poner fin al enriquecimiento de uranio antes del 30 de junio?
Sí
$1,381,773 Vol.
$1,381,773 Vol.
30 jun 2026
Sí
$1,381,773 Vol.
$1,381,773 Vol.
30 jun 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations to resolve the conflict remain stalled over Tehran's nuclear program, with Iranian officials rejecting demands for a complete halt to uranium enrichment by June 30 and instead proposing supervised limits, dilution of existing stockpiles to lower levels, or limited transfers under strict conditions. Recent diplomatic exchanges, including statements from Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on postponing stockpile discussions and U.S. openness to temporary pauses of 10-20 years, highlight persistent gaps on verification, sovereignty, and facility retention. These factors sustain trader consensus that an agreement ending enrichment within the narrow timeframe is unlikely, though scheduled talks and potential breakthroughs in related issues like Strait of Hormuz access could still shift positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Volumen
$1,381,773Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations to resolve the conflict remain stalled over Tehran's nuclear program, with Iranian officials rejecting demands for a complete halt to uranium enrichment by June 30 and instead proposing supervised limits, dilution of existing stockpiles to lower levels, or limited transfers under strict conditions. Recent diplomatic exchanges, including statements from Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on postponing stockpile discussions and U.S. openness to temporary pauses of 10-20 years, highlight persistent gaps on verification, sovereignty, and facility retention. These factors sustain trader consensus that an agreement ending enrichment within the narrow timeframe is unlikely, though scheduled talks and potential breakthroughs in related issues like Strait of Hormuz access could still shift positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$1,381,773Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran negotiations to resolve the conflict remain stalled over Tehran's nuclear program, with Iranian officials rejecting demands for a complete halt to uranium enrichment by June 30 and instead proposing supervised limits, dilution of existing stockpiles to lower levels, or limited transfers under strict conditions. Recent diplomatic exchanges, including statements from Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on postponing stockpile discussions and U.S. openness to temporary pauses of 10-20 years, highlight persistent gaps on verification, sovereignty, and facility retention. These factors sustain trader consensus that an agreement ending enrichment within the narrow timeframe is unlikely, though scheduled talks and potential breakthroughs in related issues like Strait of Hormuz access could still shift positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes