Amid heightened US-Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, Pentagon briefings on May 5 led by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth explicitly clarified that the US Navy's longstanding Marine Mammal Program trains bottlenose dolphins for non-lethal tasks like mine detection and harbor defense, not as "kamikaze" suicide weapons carrying explosives. Officials denied such capabilities despite social media speculation, with Snopes and other reports affirming no credible evidence of confirmation. This drove trader consensus to 99% "No" implied probability, reflecting skin-in-the-game skepticism as the May 31 resolution deadline nears with no new developments. Realistic shifts would require official DoD acknowledgment, verifiable footage, or leaked operational details.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Los delfines kamikaze de EE. UU. confirmados antes del 31 de mayo?
¿Los delfines kamikaze de EE. UU. confirmados antes del 31 de mayo?
Sí
$22,957 Vol.
$22,957 Vol.
31 may 2026
Sí
$22,957 Vol.
$22,957 Vol.
31 may 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, Pentagon briefings on May 5 led by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth explicitly clarified that the US Navy's longstanding Marine Mammal Program trains bottlenose dolphins for non-lethal tasks like mine detection and harbor defense, not as "kamikaze" suicide weapons carrying explosives. Officials denied such capabilities despite social media speculation, with Snopes and other reports affirming no credible evidence of confirmation. This drove trader consensus to 99% "No" implied probability, reflecting skin-in-the-game skepticism as the May 31 resolution deadline nears with no new developments. Realistic shifts would require official DoD acknowledgment, verifiable footage, or leaked operational details.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Volumen
$22,957Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Amid heightened US-Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, Pentagon briefings on May 5 led by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth explicitly clarified that the US Navy's longstanding Marine Mammal Program trains bottlenose dolphins for non-lethal tasks like mine detection and harbor defense, not as "kamikaze" suicide weapons carrying explosives. Officials denied such capabilities despite social media speculation, with Snopes and other reports affirming no credible evidence of confirmation. This drove trader consensus to 99% "No" implied probability, reflecting skin-in-the-game skepticism as the May 31 resolution deadline nears with no new developments. Realistic shifts would require official DoD acknowledgment, verifiable footage, or leaked operational details.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Kamikaze dolphins” refers to the use of dolphins as weapons through the attachment of explosive devices to dolphins for the purpose of attacking ships or other targets. The use of dolphins for mine detection, surveillance, retrieval, harbor defense or other military purposes not involving the attachment of explosive devices will not qualify.
Confirmation of the existence of kamikaze dolphins requires confirmation that the United States military has used, trained, or equipped dolphins to conduct attack missions of this type, or operates an ongoing program for the use of kamikaze dolphins.
Official confirmation from the United States government or military of the existence of kamikaze dolphins will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting confirming the existence of kamikaze dolphins in the US military will also qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the United States government and military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$22,961Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 11, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid heightened US-Iran tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, Pentagon briefings on May 5 led by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth explicitly clarified that the US Navy's longstanding Marine Mammal Program trains bottlenose dolphins for non-lethal tasks like mine detection and harbor defense, not as "kamikaze" suicide weapons carrying explosives. Officials denied such capabilities despite social media speculation, with Snopes and other reports affirming no credible evidence of confirmation. This drove trader consensus to 99% "No" implied probability, reflecting skin-in-the-game skepticism as the May 31 resolution deadline nears with no new developments. Realistic shifts would require official DoD acknowledgment, verifiable footage, or leaked operational details.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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