Ongoing indirect U.S.-Iran talks, mediated primarily through Pakistan and Oman, center on a potential ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and limits on Iran's nuclear program, positioning special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner as the most active U.S. figures in recent rounds. Vice President J.D. Vance's May 13 statement noting progress, combined with President Trump's May 13-15 Beijing summit where China signaled willingness to broker, has shaped trader views on near-term meetings before the May 31 cutoff. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's May 15 remarks stressing the need for credible U.S. commitments amid past strikes underscore Tehran's caution, leaving room for scheduled sessions in Pakistan or Oman to produce a breakthrough while sustaining overall uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$81,208 Vol.
31 may 2026
Jared Kushner
21%
Steve Witkoff
20%
J.D. Vance
10%
Marco Rubio
5%
Donald Trump
3%
$81,208 Vol.
Jared Kushner
$22,696 Vol.
21%
Steve Witkoff
$19,925 Vol.
20%
J.D. Vance
$23,516 Vol.
10%
Marco Rubio
$5,680 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump
$9,392 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect U.S.-Iran talks, mediated primarily through Pakistan and Oman, center on a potential ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and limits on Iran's nuclear program, positioning special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner as the most active U.S. figures in recent rounds. Vice President J.D. Vance's May 13 statement noting progress, combined with President Trump's May 13-15 Beijing summit where China signaled willingness to broker, has shaped trader views on near-term meetings before the May 31 cutoff. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's May 15 remarks stressing the need for credible U.S. commitments amid past strikes underscore Tehran's caution, leaving room for scheduled sessions in Pakistan or Oman to produce a breakthrough while sustaining overall uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Volumen
$81,208Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing indirect U.S.-Iran talks, mediated primarily through Pakistan and Oman, center on a potential ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and limits on Iran's nuclear program, positioning special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner as the most active U.S. figures in recent rounds. Vice President J.D. Vance's May 13 statement noting progress, combined with President Trump's May 13-15 Beijing summit where China signaled willingness to broker, has shaped trader views on near-term meetings before the May 31 cutoff. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's May 15 remarks stressing the need for credible U.S. commitments amid past strikes underscore Tehran's caution, leaving room for scheduled sessions in Pakistan or Oman to produce a breakthrough while sustaining overall uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$81,208Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing indirect U.S.-Iran talks, mediated primarily through Pakistan and Oman, center on a potential ceasefire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, and limits on Iran's nuclear program, positioning special envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner as the most active U.S. figures in recent rounds. Vice President J.D. Vance's May 13 statement noting progress, combined with President Trump's May 13-15 Beijing summit where China signaled willingness to broker, has shaped trader views on near-term meetings before the May 31 cutoff. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi's May 15 remarks stressing the need for credible U.S. commitments amid past strikes underscore Tehran's caution, leaving room for scheduled sessions in Pakistan or Oman to produce a breakthrough while sustaining overall uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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