Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva on February 17-18 produced no breakthrough on core issues such as territorial control, security guarantees, or ceasefires, following similar sessions in Abu Dhabi. Negotiations have since stalled amid Russia’s spring offensive and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s April statement that resuming talks is not Moscow’s priority. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s May comments signaling the conflict “is coming to an end,” support for a temporary three-day ceasefire, and openness to direct talks with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in a third country represent the most recent diplomatic signals. These developments, alongside battlefield dynamics and U.S. pressure on timelines, continue to shape trader assessments of whether another formal bilateral or trilateral meeting will occur before the market’s resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$149,243 Vol.
31 dic 2026
May 31
3%
June 30
27%
December 31
73%
$149,243 Vol.
May 31
$73,355 Vol.
3%
June 30
$27,387 Vol.
27%
December 31
$48,500 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva on February 17-18 produced no breakthrough on core issues such as territorial control, security guarantees, or ceasefires, following similar sessions in Abu Dhabi. Negotiations have since stalled amid Russia’s spring offensive and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s April statement that resuming talks is not Moscow’s priority. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s May comments signaling the conflict “is coming to an end,” support for a temporary three-day ceasefire, and openness to direct talks with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in a third country represent the most recent diplomatic signals. These developments, alongside battlefield dynamics and U.S. pressure on timelines, continue to shape trader assessments of whether another formal bilateral or trilateral meeting will occur before the market’s resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volumen
$149,243Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva on February 17-18 produced no breakthrough on core issues such as territorial control, security guarantees, or ceasefires, following similar sessions in Abu Dhabi. Negotiations have since stalled amid Russia’s spring offensive and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s April statement that resuming talks is not Moscow’s priority. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s May comments signaling the conflict “is coming to an end,” support for a temporary three-day ceasefire, and openness to direct talks with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in a third country represent the most recent diplomatic signals. These developments, alongside battlefield dynamics and U.S. pressure on timelines, continue to shape trader assessments of whether another formal bilateral or trilateral meeting will occur before the market’s resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$149,243Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-mediated trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and American officials in Geneva on February 17-18 produced no breakthrough on core issues such as territorial control, security guarantees, or ceasefires, following similar sessions in Abu Dhabi. Negotiations have since stalled amid Russia’s spring offensive and Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov’s April statement that resuming talks is not Moscow’s priority. Russian President Vladimir Putin’s May comments signaling the conflict “is coming to an end,” support for a temporary three-day ceasefire, and openness to direct talks with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy in a third country represent the most recent diplomatic signals. These developments, alongside battlefield dynamics and U.S. pressure on timelines, continue to shape trader assessments of whether another formal bilateral or trilateral meeting will occur before the market’s resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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