Traders' strong consensus against a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30 reflects the absence of any verifiable internal dissent, military disloyalty, or opposition mobilization amid ongoing martial law and unified war efforts against Russia's invasion. President Zelenskyy's government maintains control, with security forces focused on frontline defense rather than domestic intrigue, as evidenced by recent reports of steady military operations and no reported plots from credible sources. Earlier February warnings of political crisis risks have dissipated without incident, while diplomatic pushes for ceasefires or aid packages dominate headlines. Structural barriers like postponed elections until postwar and lack of prominent challengers further solidify the low-probability assessment, though sudden frontline collapses or scandals could theoretically shift dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$12,220 Vol.
$12,220 Vol.
Sí
$12,220 Vol.
$12,220 Vol.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders' strong consensus against a Ukraine coup attempt by June 30 reflects the absence of any verifiable internal dissent, military disloyalty, or opposition mobilization amid ongoing martial law and unified war efforts against Russia's invasion. President Zelenskyy's government maintains control, with security forces focused on frontline defense rather than domestic intrigue, as evidenced by recent reports of steady military operations and no reported plots from credible sources. Earlier February warnings of political crisis risks have dissipated without incident, while diplomatic pushes for ceasefires or aid packages dominate headlines. Structural barriers like postponed elections until postwar and lack of prominent challengers further solidify the low-probability assessment, though sudden frontline collapses or scandals could theoretically shift dynamics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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