Ukraine's political environment in mid-2026 shows no verifiable signs of an imminent coup attempt, with trader probabilities remaining low amid the ongoing Russia conflict. Internal strains include recent military leadership changes, defense ministry reshuffles, anticorruption probes into former officials, and limited protests over wartime governance, yet these have produced orderly transitions rather than organized challenges to central authority. The external security threat from Russian advances and strikes has historically consolidated domestic support around President Zelenskyy and the Verkhovna Rada, reducing space for elite fractures or military dissent that could enable a coup. Upcoming factors such as potential diplomatic developments or mobilization pressures could test stability, but current evidence points to continuity rather than abrupt leadership shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$169,141 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
8%
$169,141 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$151,305 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's political environment in mid-2026 shows no verifiable signs of an imminent coup attempt, with trader probabilities remaining low amid the ongoing Russia conflict. Internal strains include recent military leadership changes, defense ministry reshuffles, anticorruption probes into former officials, and limited protests over wartime governance, yet these have produced orderly transitions rather than organized challenges to central authority. The external security threat from Russian advances and strikes has historically consolidated domestic support around President Zelenskyy and the Verkhovna Rada, reducing space for elite fractures or military dissent that could enable a coup. Upcoming factors such as potential diplomatic developments or mobilization pressures could test stability, but current evidence points to continuity rather than abrupt leadership shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volumen
$169,141Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine's political environment in mid-2026 shows no verifiable signs of an imminent coup attempt, with trader probabilities remaining low amid the ongoing Russia conflict. Internal strains include recent military leadership changes, defense ministry reshuffles, anticorruption probes into former officials, and limited protests over wartime governance, yet these have produced orderly transitions rather than organized challenges to central authority. The external security threat from Russian advances and strikes has historically consolidated domestic support around President Zelenskyy and the Verkhovna Rada, reducing space for elite fractures or military dissent that could enable a coup. Upcoming factors such as potential diplomatic developments or mobilization pressures could test stability, but current evidence points to continuity rather than abrupt leadership shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$169,141Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine's political environment in mid-2026 shows no verifiable signs of an imminent coup attempt, with trader probabilities remaining low amid the ongoing Russia conflict. Internal strains include recent military leadership changes, defense ministry reshuffles, anticorruption probes into former officials, and limited protests over wartime governance, yet these have produced orderly transitions rather than organized challenges to central authority. The external security threat from Russian advances and strikes has historically consolidated domestic support around President Zelenskyy and the Verkhovna Rada, reducing space for elite fractures or military dissent that could enable a coup. Upcoming factors such as potential diplomatic developments or mobilization pressures could test stability, but current evidence points to continuity rather than abrupt leadership shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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