Ukrainian security services have maintained tight control over potential internal threats since foiling a pro-Russian plot in July 2024 involving planned riots in Kyiv. No widely reported coup attempts or credible plots have surfaced in 2025 or 2026, even as the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to shape domestic politics and military priorities. Trader consensus reflected in low market probabilities aligns with this stability, factoring in institutional resilience, ongoing martial law measures, and limited evidence of organized opposition capable of challenging the government. Key variables that could alter assessments include shifts in battlefield conditions, leadership transitions, or verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs that either ease or intensify internal pressures before the December 2026 resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$169,141 Vol.
31 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
8%
$169,141 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$151,305 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukrainian security services have maintained tight control over potential internal threats since foiling a pro-Russian plot in July 2024 involving planned riots in Kyiv. No widely reported coup attempts or credible plots have surfaced in 2025 or 2026, even as the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to shape domestic politics and military priorities. Trader consensus reflected in low market probabilities aligns with this stability, factoring in institutional resilience, ongoing martial law measures, and limited evidence of organized opposition capable of challenging the government. Key variables that could alter assessments include shifts in battlefield conditions, leadership transitions, or verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs that either ease or intensify internal pressures before the December 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volumen
$169,141Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukrainian security services have maintained tight control over potential internal threats since foiling a pro-Russian plot in July 2024 involving planned riots in Kyiv. No widely reported coup attempts or credible plots have surfaced in 2025 or 2026, even as the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to shape domestic politics and military priorities. Trader consensus reflected in low market probabilities aligns with this stability, factoring in institutional resilience, ongoing martial law measures, and limited evidence of organized opposition capable of challenging the government. Key variables that could alter assessments include shifts in battlefield conditions, leadership transitions, or verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs that either ease or intensify internal pressures before the December 2026 resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$169,141Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian security services have maintained tight control over potential internal threats since foiling a pro-Russian plot in July 2024 involving planned riots in Kyiv. No widely reported coup attempts or credible plots have surfaced in 2025 or 2026, even as the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to shape domestic politics and military priorities. Trader consensus reflected in low market probabilities aligns with this stability, factoring in institutional resilience, ongoing martial law measures, and limited evidence of organized opposition capable of challenging the government. Key variables that could alter assessments include shifts in battlefield conditions, leadership transitions, or verifiable diplomatic breakthroughs that either ease or intensify internal pressures before the December 2026 resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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