Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army through ongoing anti-corruption purges and centralized authority over the Central Military Commission, as evidenced by recent investigations into senior generals like Zhang Youxia that analysts describe as loyalty enforcement rather than internal challenges. This consolidation has produced no verified signs of coordinated opposition or military dissent in the past several months, supporting trader consensus that a coup attempt remains improbable before 2027. Historical patterns of party discipline and the absence of succession pressures further reinforce stability. Potential shifts could still arise from an unforeseen health event, severe economic disruption, or sudden external crisis that fractures elite unity, though such developments would need to overcome entrenched institutional safeguards.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$127,681 Vol.
$127,681 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$127,681 Vol.
$127,681 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army through ongoing anti-corruption purges and centralized authority over the Central Military Commission, as evidenced by recent investigations into senior generals like Zhang Youxia that analysts describe as loyalty enforcement rather than internal challenges. This consolidation has produced no verified signs of coordinated opposition or military dissent in the past several months, supporting trader consensus that a coup attempt remains improbable before 2027. Historical patterns of party discipline and the absence of succession pressures further reinforce stability. Potential shifts could still arise from an unforeseen health event, severe economic disruption, or sudden external crisis that fractures elite unity, though such developments would need to overcome entrenched institutional safeguards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$127,681Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army through ongoing anti-corruption purges and centralized authority over the Central Military Commission, as evidenced by recent investigations into senior generals like Zhang Youxia that analysts describe as loyalty enforcement rather than internal challenges. This consolidation has produced no verified signs of coordinated opposition or military dissent in the past several months, supporting trader consensus that a coup attempt remains improbable before 2027. Historical patterns of party discipline and the absence of succession pressures further reinforce stability. Potential shifts could still arise from an unforeseen health event, severe economic disruption, or sudden external crisis that fractures elite unity, though such developments would need to overcome entrenched institutional safeguards.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$127,681Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and the People’s Liberation Army through ongoing anti-corruption purges and centralized authority over the Central Military Commission, as evidenced by recent investigations into senior generals like Zhang Youxia that analysts describe as loyalty enforcement rather than internal challenges. This consolidation has produced no verified signs of coordinated opposition or military dissent in the past several months, supporting trader consensus that a coup attempt remains improbable before 2027. Historical patterns of party discipline and the absence of succession pressures further reinforce stability. Potential shifts could still arise from an unforeseen health event, severe economic disruption, or sudden external crisis that fractures elite unity, though such developments would need to overcome entrenched institutional safeguards.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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