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icon for Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay

Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay

icon for Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay

Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay

19% probabilidad
Polymarket

$468,572 Vol.

19% probabilidad
Polymarket

$468,572 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 81% for the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay, reflecting the collapse of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire announced last week by President Trump, which included a promised POW swap but quickly unraveled amid mutual accusations. Russia unleashed one of its largest drone and missile barrages in years on May 14, killing dozens including civilians in Kyiv and prompting Ukraine's retaliatory strikes on Russian oil infrastructure, shattering any short-term truce momentum. Earlier February talks in Switzerland ended without breakthroughs despite U.S. involvement, while NATO's pledge of $60 billion in 2026 aid bolsters Ukraine's resolve against concessions. Ongoing frontline stalemates, failed negotiations, and escalating attacks signal deep divisions with no path to comprehensive peace terms before the resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Volumen
$468,572
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No" at 81% for the Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay, reflecting the collapse of a U.S.-brokered three-day ceasefire announced last week by President Trump, which included a promised POW swap but quickly unraveled amid mutual accusations. Russia unleashed one of its largest drone and missile barrages in years on May 14, killing dozens including civilians in Kyiv and prompting Ukraine's retaliatory strikes on Russian oil infrastructure, shattering any short-term truce momentum. Earlier February talks in Switzerland ended without breakthroughs despite U.S. involvement, while NATO's pledge of $60 billion in 2026 aid bolsters Ukraine's resolve against concessions. Ongoing frontline stalemates, failed negotiations, and escalating attacks signal deep divisions with no path to comprehensive peace terms before the resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:

- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Volumen
$468,572
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - Russia x Ukraine ceasefire - Ukraine agrees not to join NATO - Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rusia x Ucrania Conversaciones de Paz" con 19%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 19¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay" ha generado $468.6K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 24, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay" es "Rusia x Ucrania Conversaciones de Paz" con 19%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 19% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Rusia x Ucrania Peace Parlay" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.