Persistent deadlock in U.S.-mediated talks and the collapse of a brief three-day ceasefire on May 9-11, 2026, have kept traders pricing an 83% chance against any Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027. The pause ended amid mutual violation claims and renewed strikes, halting momentum from earlier Geneva and Florida sessions. February reports of President Zelenskyy scheduling elections alongside a vote on territorial concessions under external pressure produced no formal announcement or timeline, as Russia continued demanding control of Donbas and Crimea while Kyiv upheld constitutional barriers and territorial integrity. Civil society opposition and the absence of a verified ceasefire framework further reduce prospects for a binding referendum within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?
¿Referéndum de paz de Ucrania aprobado antes de 2027?
Sí
$14,723 Vol.
$14,723 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$14,723 Vol.
$14,723 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent deadlock in U.S.-mediated talks and the collapse of a brief three-day ceasefire on May 9-11, 2026, have kept traders pricing an 83% chance against any Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027. The pause ended amid mutual violation claims and renewed strikes, halting momentum from earlier Geneva and Florida sessions. February reports of President Zelenskyy scheduling elections alongside a vote on territorial concessions under external pressure produced no formal announcement or timeline, as Russia continued demanding control of Donbas and Crimea while Kyiv upheld constitutional barriers and territorial integrity. Civil society opposition and the absence of a verified ceasefire framework further reduce prospects for a binding referendum within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
Volumen
$14,723Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent deadlock in U.S.-mediated talks and the collapse of a brief three-day ceasefire on May 9-11, 2026, have kept traders pricing an 83% chance against any Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027. The pause ended amid mutual violation claims and renewed strikes, halting momentum from earlier Geneva and Florida sessions. February reports of President Zelenskyy scheduling elections alongside a vote on territorial concessions under external pressure produced no formal announcement or timeline, as Russia continued demanding control of Donbas and Crimea while Kyiv upheld constitutional barriers and territorial integrity. Civil society opposition and the absence of a verified ceasefire framework further reduce prospects for a binding referendum within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$14,723Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent deadlock in U.S.-mediated talks and the collapse of a brief three-day ceasefire on May 9-11, 2026, have kept traders pricing an 83% chance against any Ukraine peace referendum passing before 2027. The pause ended amid mutual violation claims and renewed strikes, halting momentum from earlier Geneva and Florida sessions. February reports of President Zelenskyy scheduling elections alongside a vote on territorial concessions under external pressure produced no formal announcement or timeline, as Russia continued demanding control of Donbas and Crimea while Kyiv upheld constitutional barriers and territorial integrity. Civil society opposition and the absence of a verified ceasefire framework further reduce prospects for a binding referendum within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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