The United Arab Emirates’ April 2026 withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, effective May 1, exposed quota disputes and the desire for greater production flexibility amid energy-market volatility tied to the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and Algeria, continue coordinated output adjustments through OPEC+, with the group reaffirming market-stability commitments in early May. Most face higher financial dependence on cartel discipline or lack the UAE’s spare capacity and economic diversification, limiting near-term exit incentives. No other member has signaled departure plans before year-end, and ongoing diplomatic coordination among core producers reinforces the current trader consensus that a second exit remains unlikely in 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
$92,591 Vol.
$92,591 Vol.
31 dic 2026
$92,591 Vol.
$92,591 Vol.
31 dic 2026
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The United Arab Emirates’ April 2026 withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, effective May 1, exposed quota disputes and the desire for greater production flexibility amid energy-market volatility tied to the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and Algeria, continue coordinated output adjustments through OPEC+, with the group reaffirming market-stability commitments in early May. Most face higher financial dependence on cartel discipline or lack the UAE’s spare capacity and economic diversification, limiting near-term exit incentives. No other member has signaled departure plans before year-end, and ongoing diplomatic coordination among core producers reinforces the current trader consensus that a second exit remains unlikely in 2026.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volumen
$92,591Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The United Arab Emirates’ April 2026 withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, effective May 1, exposed quota disputes and the desire for greater production flexibility amid energy-market volatility tied to the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and Algeria, continue coordinated output adjustments through OPEC+, with the group reaffirming market-stability commitments in early May. Most face higher financial dependence on cartel discipline or lack the UAE’s spare capacity and economic diversification, limiting near-term exit incentives. No other member has signaled departure plans before year-end, and ongoing diplomatic coordination among core producers reinforces the current trader consensus that a second exit remains unlikely in 2026.
On April 28, 2026, the United Arab Emirates officially announced that it would withdraw from OPEC. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/uae-says-it-quits-opec-opec-statement-2026-04-28/.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if another OPEC member officially announces its withdrawal from OPEC between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official announcement made by any country that is an OPEC member at the time of market creation and has not already announced its exit will suffice, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.
Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the respective governments; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$92,591Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 28, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The United Arab Emirates’ April 2026 withdrawal from OPEC and OPEC+, effective May 1, exposed quota disputes and the desire for greater production flexibility amid energy-market volatility tied to the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. Remaining members, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait, and Algeria, continue coordinated output adjustments through OPEC+, with the group reaffirming market-stability commitments in early May. Most face higher financial dependence on cartel discipline or lack the UAE’s spare capacity and economic diversification, limiting near-term exit incentives. No other member has signaled departure plans before year-end, and ongoing diplomatic coordination among core producers reinforces the current trader consensus that a second exit remains unlikely in 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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