Skip to main content

Para operar en EE. UU., ve a polymarket.us

icon for ¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?

¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?

icon for ¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?

¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?

$1,364,499 Vol.

30 sep 2026
Polymarket

$1,364,499 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de septiembre

$9,902 Vol.

1%

31 de marzo

$0 Vol.

48%

31 de octubre

$1,887 Vol.

4%

December 31

$511,493 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.**Israeli forces maintain positions in southern Lebanon, including areas north of the Litani River and an expanded buffer zone, under a June 2026 US-brokered framework agreement that ties any phased redeployment to verifiable Lebanese Armed Forces control and Hezbollah disarmament.** The deal established limited pilot zones for initial, conditions-based withdrawals—one north of the Litani and others south—but progress has been slow, with implementation delayed and further talks postponed until October. Recent statements from IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir emphasize that operations continue to prevent Hezbollah rebuilding south of the Litani, that disarmament cannot advance without a more effective Lebanese army, and that Israel will hold defensive positions as long as threats persist. Hezbollah has rejected the framework, ongoing strikes continue, and no fixed timetable governs full withdrawal. Trader sentiment reflects these barriers, with low implied probabilities for near-term full pullback beyond the pilot areas.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volumen
$1,364,499
Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.**Israeli forces maintain positions in southern Lebanon, including areas north of the Litani River and an expanded buffer zone, under a June 2026 US-brokered framework agreement that ties any phased redeployment to verifiable Lebanese Armed Forces control and Hezbollah disarmament.** The deal established limited pilot zones for initial, conditions-based withdrawals—one north of the Litani and others south—but progress has been slow, with implementation delayed and further talks postponed until October. Recent statements from IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir emphasize that operations continue to prevent Hezbollah rebuilding south of the Litani, that disarmament cannot advance without a more effective Lebanese army, and that Israel will hold defensive positions as long as threats persist. Hezbollah has rejected the framework, ongoing strikes continue, and no fixed timetable governs full withdrawal. Trader sentiment reflects these barriers, with low implied probabilities for near-term full pullback beyond the pilot areas.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volumen
$1,364,499
Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ET

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de marzo" con 48%, seguido de "December 31" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 48¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?" ha generado $1.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 7, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?" es "31 de marzo" con 48%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 48% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "December 31" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Las fuerzas israelíes se retiran de más allá del río Litani por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.