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icon for ¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?

¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?

icon for ¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?

¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?

$10,193 Vol.

1 ene 2027
Polymarket

$10,193 Vol.

Polymarket

Thom Tillis

$856 Vol.

97%

John Cornyn

$690 Vol.

84%

Dan Sullivan

$2,674 Vol.

86%

Rand Paul

$748 Vol.

71%

Susan Collins

$348 Vol.

75%

John Curtis

$782 Vol.

69%

Bill Cassidy

$2,563 Vol.

69%

John Fetterman

$812 Vol.

33%

Mitch McConnell

$627 Vol.

6%

Lisa Murkowski

$93 Vol.

53%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Donald Trump’s June 17 Truth Social post abruptly postponed Jay Clayton’s scheduled Senate Intelligence Committee confirmation hearing, tying progress to Senate approval of his replacement as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and advancement of a voter ID measure. Clayton, the current SDNY U.S. Attorney and former SEC chair, had been positioned for rapid confirmation to stabilize leadership of the intelligence community amid an expired Section 702 surveillance authority. The Senate had initially fast-tracked the process with bipartisan praise for Clayton’s prosecutorial and regulatory experience, though acting DNI Bill Pulte remains in place. Resolution hinges on Senate vote thresholds, committee rescheduling, and any procedural holds or linked legislation before full confirmation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$10,193
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting. President Donald Trump’s June 17 Truth Social post abruptly postponed Jay Clayton’s scheduled Senate Intelligence Committee confirmation hearing, tying progress to Senate approval of his replacement as U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York and advancement of a voter ID measure. Clayton, the current SDNY U.S. Attorney and former SEC chair, had been positioned for rapid confirmation to stabilize leadership of the intelligence community amid an expired Section 702 surveillance authority. The Senate had initially fast-tracked the process with bipartisan praise for Clayton’s prosecutorial and regulatory experience, though acting DNI Bill Pulte remains in place. Resolution hinges on Senate vote thresholds, committee rescheduling, and any procedural holds or linked legislation before full confirmation.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.

If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market.

The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$10,193
Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027
Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 11:03 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Jay Clayton to be Director of National Intelligence. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions. If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”. If no qualifying vote is held by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. No attempts by a legislator to change their vote after the vote has been closed shall be considered for this market. The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Thom Tillis" con 97%, seguido de "Dan Sullivan" con 86%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 97¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?" ha generado $10.2K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 12, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?" es "Thom Tillis" con 97%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Dan Sullivan" con 86%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién votará para confirmar a Jay Clayton como Director de Inteligencia Nacional?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.