President Trump’s proposal to suspend the 18.4-cent federal gasoline excise tax and the 24.4-cent diesel tax for a temporary period has become the central driver of trader sentiment, following sharp fuel-price increases tied to the ongoing Iran conflict. Republican lawmakers including Sen. Josh Hawley introduced legislation on May 11 for a 90-day pause extendable by another 90 days at presidential discretion, while earlier Democratic bills sought a suspension through October. Passage requires congressional approval and faces resistance over limited per-driver savings and potential shortfalls for the Highway Trust Fund. Congress remains divided along partisan lines on offsetting revenue losses, with no floor votes scheduled and leadership expressing caution about fiscal and infrastructure impacts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoJune 30
18%
November 2
40%
$4,940 Vol.
June 30
18%
November 2
40%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s proposal to suspend the 18.4-cent federal gasoline excise tax and the 24.4-cent diesel tax for a temporary period has become the central driver of trader sentiment, following sharp fuel-price increases tied to the ongoing Iran conflict. Republican lawmakers including Sen. Josh Hawley introduced legislation on May 11 for a 90-day pause extendable by another 90 days at presidential discretion, while earlier Democratic bills sought a suspension through October. Passage requires congressional approval and faces resistance over limited per-driver savings and potential shortfalls for the Highway Trust Fund. Congress remains divided along partisan lines on offsetting revenue losses, with no floor votes scheduled and leadership expressing caution about fiscal and infrastructure impacts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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