Rising fuel prices linked to Middle East tensions have prompted renewed congressional attention to suspending the 18.4-cent federal gasoline excise tax, with multiple bills introduced in the 119th Congress to pause collections temporarily through dates such as October 1, 2026. President Trump publicly endorsed a suspension in May 2026, aligning with Republican and Democratic proposals that would offset Highway Trust Fund revenue losses via general-fund transfers. No such legislation has advanced to passage, consistent with the absence of any prior federal suspension since the tax's creation. Traders are monitoring floor action, committee markups, and any linkage to surface transportation reauthorization or continuing resolutions that could create a legislative vehicle before year-end deadlines. State-level gas-tax holidays provide limited precedent but do not directly affect the federal rate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$31,988 Vol.
2 nov 2026
November 2
20%
$31,988 Vol.
November 2
$9,622 Vol.
20%
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising fuel prices linked to Middle East tensions have prompted renewed congressional attention to suspending the 18.4-cent federal gasoline excise tax, with multiple bills introduced in the 119th Congress to pause collections temporarily through dates such as October 1, 2026. President Trump publicly endorsed a suspension in May 2026, aligning with Republican and Democratic proposals that would offset Highway Trust Fund revenue losses via general-fund transfers. No such legislation has advanced to passage, consistent with the absence of any prior federal suspension since the tax's creation. Traders are monitoring floor action, committee markups, and any linkage to surface transportation reauthorization or continuing resolutions that could create a legislative vehicle before year-end deadlines. State-level gas-tax holidays provide limited precedent but do not directly affect the federal rate.
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
Volumen
$31,988Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rising fuel prices linked to Middle East tensions have prompted renewed congressional attention to suspending the 18.4-cent federal gasoline excise tax, with multiple bills introduced in the 119th Congress to pause collections temporarily through dates such as October 1, 2026. President Trump publicly endorsed a suspension in May 2026, aligning with Republican and Democratic proposals that would offset Highway Trust Fund revenue losses via general-fund transfers. No such legislation has advanced to passage, consistent with the absence of any prior federal suspension since the tax's creation. Traders are monitoring floor action, committee markups, and any linkage to surface transportation reauthorization or continuing resolutions that could create a legislative vehicle before year-end deadlines. State-level gas-tax holidays provide limited precedent but do not directly affect the federal rate.
On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$31,988Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 1:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rising fuel prices linked to Middle East tensions have prompted renewed congressional attention to suspending the 18.4-cent federal gasoline excise tax, with multiple bills introduced in the 119th Congress to pause collections temporarily through dates such as October 1, 2026. President Trump publicly endorsed a suspension in May 2026, aligning with Republican and Democratic proposals that would offset Highway Trust Fund revenue losses via general-fund transfers. No such legislation has advanced to passage, consistent with the absence of any prior federal suspension since the tax's creation. Traders are monitoring floor action, committee markups, and any linkage to surface transportation reauthorization or continuing resolutions that could create a legislative vehicle before year-end deadlines. State-level gas-tax holidays provide limited precedent but do not directly affect the federal rate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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