The Trump administration has intensified sanctions on Cuba’s energy sector since early 2026, including Executive Order 14380 authorizing tariffs on third-country oil shipments and Executive Order 14404 enabling secondary sanctions and SDN designations. These measures targeted Cuba’s state oil company CUPET in June, along with GAESA-linked entities, sharply reducing foreign fuel deliveries and deepening nationwide blackouts. Secret talks reportedly offering limited U.S. oil supplies and investment collapsed in September amid domestic political resistance and Cuban demands. Havana has pursued internal market reforms and foreign investment deals to ease shortages, yet U.S. officials have signaled continued pressure without announced relief. Traders assessing any near-term sanction easing must weigh these enforcement trends against potential diplomatic openings or humanitarian developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$46,696 Vol.
30 sep 2026
30 de septiembre
21%
31 de diciembre
42%
$46,696 Vol.
30 de septiembre
$43 Vol.
21%
31 de diciembre
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration has intensified sanctions on Cuba’s energy sector since early 2026, including Executive Order 14380 authorizing tariffs on third-country oil shipments and Executive Order 14404 enabling secondary sanctions and SDN designations. These measures targeted Cuba’s state oil company CUPET in June, along with GAESA-linked entities, sharply reducing foreign fuel deliveries and deepening nationwide blackouts. Secret talks reportedly offering limited U.S. oil supplies and investment collapsed in September amid domestic political resistance and Cuban demands. Havana has pursued internal market reforms and foreign investment deals to ease shortages, yet U.S. officials have signaled continued pressure without announced relief. Traders assessing any near-term sanction easing must weigh these enforcement trends against potential diplomatic openings or humanitarian developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Volumen
$46,696Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Trump administration has intensified sanctions on Cuba’s energy sector since early 2026, including Executive Order 14380 authorizing tariffs on third-country oil shipments and Executive Order 14404 enabling secondary sanctions and SDN designations. These measures targeted Cuba’s state oil company CUPET in June, along with GAESA-linked entities, sharply reducing foreign fuel deliveries and deepening nationwide blackouts. Secret talks reportedly offering limited U.S. oil supplies and investment collapsed in September amid domestic political resistance and Cuban demands. Havana has pursued internal market reforms and foreign investment deals to ease shortages, yet U.S. officials have signaled continued pressure without announced relief. Traders assessing any near-term sanction easing must weigh these enforcement trends against potential diplomatic openings or humanitarian developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the United States federal government officially announces any reduction, suspension, removal, or similar relief for U.S. sanctions related to the sale or transport of oil, fuel or other petroleum products to Cuba between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying announcement must explicitly indicate that U.S. restrictions, sanctions, penalties, or threats of penalties related to oil or fuel trade with Cuba will be suspended, reduced, removed, or otherwise substantively relaxed.
An announcement that the United States will not impose tariffs on countries exporting oil to Cuba will qualify.
Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, negotiations, expressions of openness, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify.
Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced relief goes into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump and the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$46,696Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 22, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration has intensified sanctions on Cuba’s energy sector since early 2026, including Executive Order 14380 authorizing tariffs on third-country oil shipments and Executive Order 14404 enabling secondary sanctions and SDN designations. These measures targeted Cuba’s state oil company CUPET in June, along with GAESA-linked entities, sharply reducing foreign fuel deliveries and deepening nationwide blackouts. Secret talks reportedly offering limited U.S. oil supplies and investment collapsed in September amid domestic political resistance and Cuban demands. Havana has pursued internal market reforms and foreign investment deals to ease shortages, yet U.S. officials have signaled continued pressure without announced relief. Traders assessing any near-term sanction easing must weigh these enforcement trends against potential diplomatic openings or humanitarian developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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