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icon for H.R. 22 (Ley SAVE) promulgada en 2026?
Política·Congreso

H.R. 22 (Ley SAVE) promulgada en 2026?

icon for H.R. 22 (Ley SAVE) promulgada en 2026?
Política·Congreso

H.R. 22 (Ley SAVE) promulgada en 2026?

Sí

9% probabilidad
Polymarket

$165,816 Vol.

Sí

9% probabilidad
Polymarket

$165,816 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.H.R. 22, the SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, but has languished in the Senate without further action for over a year, driving trader consensus to a 91% implied probability against enactment in 2026. No committee referrals, floor votes, or amendments have advanced it amid Democratic opposition citing barriers to mail, online, and drive registrations, while Republicans urge action ahead of November midterms. With the 119th Congress ending January 2027 and filibuster hurdles, traders price slim odds of Senate passage, presidential signature, or reconciliation bypass before year-end, despite GovTrack's 28% prognosis. Late-breaking negotiations or lame-duck momentum could shift dynamics, but stagnation defines current positioning.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$165,816
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.H.R. 22, the SAVE Act requiring documentary proof of U.S. citizenship for federal voter registration, passed the House on April 10, 2025, but has languished in the Senate without further action for over a year, driving trader consensus to a 91% implied probability against enactment in 2026. No committee referrals, floor votes, or amendments have advanced it amid Democratic opposition citing barriers to mail, online, and drive registrations, while Republicans urge action ahead of November midterms. With the 119th Congress ending January 2027 and filibuster hurdles, traders price slim odds of Senate passage, presidential signature, or reconciliation bypass before year-end, despite GovTrack's 28% prognosis. Late-breaking negotiations or lame-duck momentum could shift dynamics, but stagnation defines current positioning.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$165,816
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Feb 3, 2026, 6:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Save Act (H.R.22) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22) and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"H.R. 22 (Ley SAVE) promulgada en 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) fue promulgada como ley en 2026?" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 9¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 9% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "H.R. 22 (Ley SAVE) promulgada en 2026?" ha generado $165.8K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Feb 3, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "H.R. 22 (Ley SAVE) promulgada en 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

Este es un mercado muy abierto. El líder actual para "H.R. 22 (Ley SAVE) promulgada en 2026?" es "¿H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) fue promulgada como ley en 2026?" con solo 9%. Sin ningún resultado con una mayoría clara, los operadores lo ven como altamente incierto, lo que puede presentar oportunidades de trading únicas. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real, así que guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "H.R. 22 (Ley SAVE) promulgada en 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.