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icon for ¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?

¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?

icon for ¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?

¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?

180-199 24%

200-219 19.9%

160-179 17%

220-239 12.8%

Polymarket

$4,384,068 Vol.

180-199 24%

200-219 19.9%

160-179 17%

220-239 12.8%

Polymarket

$4,384,068 Vol.

60-79

$260,849 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$282,843 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$248,930 Vol.

<1%

120-139

$182,337 Vol.

1%

140-159

$170,133 Vol.

8%

160-179

$136,766 Vol.

17%

180-199

$114,242 Vol.

24%

200-219

$161,188 Vol.

20%

220-239

$156,625 Vol.

13%

240-259

$117,323 Vol.

8%

260-279

$128,219 Vol.

3%

280-299

$119,225 Vol.

2%

300-319

$144,700 Vol.

1%

320-339

$124,255 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$146,191 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$136,655 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$161,140 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$168,844 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$238,020 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$121,203 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$125,876 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$168,834 Vol.

<1%

500+

$269,821 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk’s steady social media cadence as the key factor narrowing the gap between the 180-199 and 200-219 tweet ranges. Historical patterns show the X owner typically posts 25–35 times daily when balancing business updates, policy commentary, and public replies, producing weekly totals that cluster in the low-to-mid 200s. Recent activity levels have remained consistent without major spikes or lulls, keeping both brackets competitive. Any high-profile announcement or breaking news response before May 22 could shift the final count, while a quieter stretch would favor the lower side of the current leader.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$4,384,068
Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see Elon Musk’s steady social media cadence as the key factor narrowing the gap between the 180-199 and 200-219 tweet ranges. Historical patterns show the X owner typically posts 25–35 times daily when balancing business updates, policy commentary, and public replies, producing weekly totals that cluster in the low-to-mid 200s. Recent activity levels have remained consistent without major spikes or lulls, keeping both brackets competitive. Any high-profile announcement or breaking news response before May 22 could shift the final count, while a quieter stretch would favor the lower side of the current leader.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$4,384,068
Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 26 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "180-199" con 24%, seguido de "200-219" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 24¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?" ha generado $4.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 12, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?", explora los 26 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?" es "180-199" con 24%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 24% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "200-219" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.