Traders have positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity on X over the May 16-18 window, with a 62.5% market-implied probability reflecting his established posting cadence during routine periods. Without major product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-stakes public disputes dominating the timeline, volume has remained steady rather than surging, consistent with Musk’s typical daily output of roughly 15–20 posts when no breaking cultural or business story demands immediate commentary. Recent days show no sharp acceleration tied to new Tesla updates or political statements that would push totals into the 90-plus brackets now trading at just 3.5%. The tight clustering around mid-range outcomes underscores platform observers’ assessment that ordinary engagement patterns, rather than viral moments, will define the final tally through the close of the period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado40-64 59%
65-89 35%
90-114 3.6%
<40 1.0%
$497,833 Vol.
$497,833 Vol.
18 may 2026
<40
1%
40-64
59%
65-89
35%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 59%
65-89 35%
90-114 3.6%
<40 1.0%
$497,833 Vol.
$497,833 Vol.
18 may 2026
<40
$119,083 Vol.
1%
40-64
$42,847 Vol.
59%
65-89
$49,342 Vol.
35%
90-114
$73,531 Vol.
4%
115-139
$47,493 Vol.
1%
140-164
$48,592 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$36,291 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$14,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$16,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity on X over the May 16-18 window, with a 62.5% market-implied probability reflecting his established posting cadence during routine periods. Without major product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-stakes public disputes dominating the timeline, volume has remained steady rather than surging, consistent with Musk’s typical daily output of roughly 15–20 posts when no breaking cultural or business story demands immediate commentary. Recent days show no sharp acceleration tied to new Tesla updates or political statements that would push totals into the 90-plus brackets now trading at just 3.5%. The tight clustering around mid-range outcomes underscores platform observers’ assessment that ordinary engagement patterns, rather than viral moments, will define the final tally through the close of the period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$497,833Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity on X over the May 16-18 window, with a 62.5% market-implied probability reflecting his established posting cadence during routine periods. Without major product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-stakes public disputes dominating the timeline, volume has remained steady rather than surging, consistent with Musk’s typical daily output of roughly 15–20 posts when no breaking cultural or business story demands immediate commentary. Recent days show no sharp acceleration tied to new Tesla updates or political statements that would push totals into the 90-plus brackets now trading at just 3.5%. The tight clustering around mid-range outcomes underscores platform observers’ assessment that ordinary engagement patterns, rather than viral moments, will define the final tally through the close of the period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$497,833Fecha de finalización
18 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have positioned the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity on X over the May 16-18 window, with a 62.5% market-implied probability reflecting his established posting cadence during routine periods. Without major product launches, regulatory hearings, or high-stakes public disputes dominating the timeline, volume has remained steady rather than surging, consistent with Musk’s typical daily output of roughly 15–20 posts when no breaking cultural or business story demands immediate commentary. Recent days show no sharp acceleration tied to new Tesla updates or political statements that would push totals into the 90-plus brackets now trading at just 3.5%. The tight clustering around mid-range outcomes underscores platform observers’ assessment that ordinary engagement patterns, rather than viral moments, will define the final tally through the close of the period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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