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icon for ¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?

¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?

icon for ¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?

¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?

180-199 22%

160-179 20%

200-219 17.3%

140-159 12%

Polymarket

$4,350,013 Vol.

180-199 22%

160-179 20%

200-219 17.3%

140-159 12%

Polymarket

$4,350,013 Vol.

60-79

$260,849 Vol.

<1%

80-99

$279,209 Vol.

<1%

100-119

$242,239 Vol.

1%

120-139

$179,990 Vol.

3%

140-159

$160,200 Vol.

12%

160-179

$132,554 Vol.

20%

180-199

$113,880 Vol.

22%

200-219

$160,918 Vol.

17%

220-239

$154,860 Vol.

10%

240-259

$116,495 Vol.

7%

260-279

$127,972 Vol.

3%

280-299

$118,752 Vol.

2%

300-319

$143,956 Vol.

2%

320-339

$123,654 Vol.

<1%

340-359

$145,991 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$136,455 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$161,140 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$168,844 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$238,020 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$121,203 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$125,876 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$168,834 Vol.

<1%

500+

$269,821 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week stems from a flurry of cultural and tech commentary, including defenses of traditional casting in literature, critiques of the “woke mind virus,” and updates on X surpassing one billion downloads. Traders see these threads sustaining momentum through May 22, keeping the 160-219 tweet range tightly bunched as the most probable outcome. His rate historically spikes during platform milestones or polarized debates, yet can moderate on quieter weekends, creating the narrow gap between the 180-199 and 160-179 bands. The market reflects real-time sensitivity to any late-week Tesla or AI announcements that could push totals higher or allow a pullback.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$4,350,013
Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace this week stems from a flurry of cultural and tech commentary, including defenses of traditional casting in literature, critiques of the “woke mind virus,” and updates on X surpassing one billion downloads. Traders see these threads sustaining momentum through May 22, keeping the 160-219 tweet range tightly bunched as the most probable outcome. His rate historically spikes during platform milestones or polarized debates, yet can moderate on quieter weekends, creating the narrow gap between the 180-199 and 160-179 bands. The market reflects real-time sensitivity to any late-week Tesla or AI announcements that could push totals higher or allow a pullback.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$4,350,013
Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026
Mercado abierto
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 26 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "180-199" con 22%, seguido de "160-179" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 22¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 22% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?" ha generado $4.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 12, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?", explora los 26 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?" es "180-199" con 22%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 22% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "160-179" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 15 al 22 de mayo de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.