Elon Musk’s posting pace on X this May has kept the market tightly clustered around the 800–900 tweet range, with the 840–879 bucket holding the highest implied probability at 11.8 percent. Traders are anchoring on his established daily cadence of roughly 25–30 posts, shaped by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX developments plus his trademark real-time commentary style. Early-month activity has shown no sharp deviation from historical patterns, leaving the outcome sensitive to any late-May news cycles or product milestones that could accelerate or mute his output. The even spread across neighboring buckets reflects uncertainty over whether external events will push totals higher or allow a modest cooldown before month-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado840-879 11.5%
800-839 10.3%
920-959 9.9%
880-919 9.4%
$3,153,377 Vol.
$3,153,377 Vol.
1 jun 2026
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
1%
560-579
1%
580-599
1%
600-619
1%
620-639
1%
640-659
2%
660-679
2%
680-699
6%
700-719
4%
720-739
4%
740-759
5%
760-779
5%
780-799
6%
800-839
10%
840-879
12%
880-919
9%
920-959
10%
960-999
8%
1000-1039
5%
1040-1079
4%
1080-1119
2%
1120-1159
1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
840-879 11.5%
800-839 10.3%
920-959 9.9%
880-919 9.4%
$3,153,377 Vol.
$3,153,377 Vol.
1 jun 2026
340-359
$69,472 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$55,291 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$58,220 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$56,871 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$43,409 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$54,448 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$63,303 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$58,581 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$64,925 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$53,161 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$45,810 Vol.
1%
560-579
$43,735 Vol.
1%
580-599
$49,462 Vol.
1%
600-619
$43,146 Vol.
1%
620-639
$39,705 Vol.
1%
640-659
$44,359 Vol.
2%
660-679
$38,789 Vol.
2%
680-699
$35,186 Vol.
6%
700-719
$46,112 Vol.
4%
720-739
$48,036 Vol.
4%
740-759
$39,927 Vol.
5%
760-779
$41,071 Vol.
5%
780-799
$43,977 Vol.
6%
800-839
$46,114 Vol.
10%
840-879
$36,714 Vol.
12%
880-919
$40,160 Vol.
9%
920-959
$37,623 Vol.
10%
960-999
$35,340 Vol.
8%
1000-1039
$36,401 Vol.
5%
1040-1079
$33,379 Vol.
4%
1080-1119
$40,381 Vol.
2%
1120-1159
$50,754 Vol.
1%
1160-1199
$56,655 Vol.
<1%
1200-1239
$55,495 Vol.
<1%
1240-1279
$67,489 Vol.
<1%
1280-1319
$59,982 Vol.
<1%
1320-1359
$59,746 Vol.
<1%
1360-1399
$44,609 Vol.
<1%
1400-1439
$74,304 Vol.
<1%
1440-1479
$45,365 Vol.
<1%
1480-1519
$25,045 Vol.
<1%
1520-1559
$27,191 Vol.
<1%
1560-1599
$32,981 Vol.
<1%
1600-1679
$39,619 Vol.
<1%
1680-1759
$40,902 Vol.
<1%
1760-1839
$34,463 Vol.
<1%
1840-1919
$27,564 Vol.
<1%
1920-1999
$62,382 Vol.
<1%
2000+
$292,699 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X this May has kept the market tightly clustered around the 800–900 tweet range, with the 840–879 bucket holding the highest implied probability at 11.8 percent. Traders are anchoring on his established daily cadence of roughly 25–30 posts, shaped by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX developments plus his trademark real-time commentary style. Early-month activity has shown no sharp deviation from historical patterns, leaving the outcome sensitive to any late-May news cycles or product milestones that could accelerate or mute his output. The even spread across neighboring buckets reflects uncertainty over whether external events will push totals higher or allow a modest cooldown before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$3,153,377Fecha de finalización
1 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X this May has kept the market tightly clustered around the 800–900 tweet range, with the 840–879 bucket holding the highest implied probability at 11.8 percent. Traders are anchoring on his established daily cadence of roughly 25–30 posts, shaped by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX developments plus his trademark real-time commentary style. Early-month activity has shown no sharp deviation from historical patterns, leaving the outcome sensitive to any late-May news cycles or product milestones that could accelerate or mute his output. The even spread across neighboring buckets reflects uncertainty over whether external events will push totals higher or allow a modest cooldown before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of May 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$3,153,377Fecha de finalización
1 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting pace on X this May has kept the market tightly clustered around the 800–900 tweet range, with the 840–879 bucket holding the highest implied probability at 11.8 percent. Traders are anchoring on his established daily cadence of roughly 25–30 posts, shaped by ongoing Tesla and SpaceX developments plus his trademark real-time commentary style. Early-month activity has shown no sharp deviation from historical patterns, leaving the outcome sensitive to any late-May news cycles or product milestones that could accelerate or mute his output. The even spread across neighboring buckets reflects uncertainty over whether external events will push totals higher or allow a modest cooldown before month-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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