The closely bunched implied probabilities around 44-45.5% for the 2026 Italian Grand Prix constructor pole reflect deep uncertainty ahead of Monza's high-speed layout. Major regulatory shifts—including lighter chassis, active aerodynamics, a 50/50 electric-combustion power split, and an overtake mode replacing traditional DRS—have produced more evenly matched cars than in prior seasons, as confirmed during Bahrain pre-season testing where Ferrari posted strong pace but Mercedes demonstrated reliability advantages. Mid-season standings show Mercedes leading the constructors' championship ahead of Ferrari and McLaren, yet no team has established consistent qualifying dominance on power-sensitive circuits. New power unit suppliers (Audi, Ford/Red Bull) add further variables, while the arrival of Cadillac keeps the field unpredictable. These dynamics sustain tight trader consensus without a clear favorite.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAston Martin 90%
Williams 90%
Audi Revolut 90%
Cadillac 90%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
Aston Martin
90%
Williams
90%
Audi Revolut
90%
Cadillac
90%
Racing Bulls
49%
Red Bull
46%
Alpine
45%
Tgr Haas
45%
Ferrari
44%
Mclaren Mastercard
44%
Mercedes
44%
Aston Martin 90%
Williams 90%
Audi Revolut 90%
Cadillac 90%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
Aston Martin
$11 Vol.
90%
Williams
$5 Vol.
90%
Audi Revolut
$11 Vol.
90%
Cadillac
$13 Vol.
90%
Racing Bulls
$0 Vol.
49%
Red Bull
$0 Vol.
46%
Alpine
$0 Vol.
45%
Tgr Haas
$0 Vol.
45%
Ferrari
$0 Vol.
44%
Mclaren Mastercard
$0 Vol.
44%
Mercedes
$0 Vol.
44%
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The closely bunched implied probabilities around 44-45.5% for the 2026 Italian Grand Prix constructor pole reflect deep uncertainty ahead of Monza's high-speed layout. Major regulatory shifts—including lighter chassis, active aerodynamics, a 50/50 electric-combustion power split, and an overtake mode replacing traditional DRS—have produced more evenly matched cars than in prior seasons, as confirmed during Bahrain pre-season testing where Ferrari posted strong pace but Mercedes demonstrated reliability advantages. Mid-season standings show Mercedes leading the constructors' championship ahead of Ferrari and McLaren, yet no team has established consistent qualifying dominance on power-sensitive circuits. New power unit suppliers (Audi, Ford/Red Bull) add further variables, while the arrival of Cadillac keeps the field unpredictable. These dynamics sustain tight trader consensus without a clear favorite.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Volumen
$41Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The closely bunched implied probabilities around 44-45.5% for the 2026 Italian Grand Prix constructor pole reflect deep uncertainty ahead of Monza's high-speed layout. Major regulatory shifts—including lighter chassis, active aerodynamics, a 50/50 electric-combustion power split, and an overtake mode replacing traditional DRS—have produced more evenly matched cars than in prior seasons, as confirmed during Bahrain pre-season testing where Ferrari posted strong pace but Mercedes demonstrated reliability advantages. Mid-season standings show Mercedes leading the constructors' championship ahead of Ferrari and McLaren, yet no team has established consistent qualifying dominance on power-sensitive circuits. New power unit suppliers (Audi, Ford/Red Bull) add further variables, while the arrival of Cadillac keeps the field unpredictable. These dynamics sustain tight trader consensus without a clear favorite.
This is a polymarket on the constructor team that achieves pole position at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix, scheduled for Sep 5, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
If the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Sep 12, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volumen
$41Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 7:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/racesResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely bunched implied probabilities around 44-45.5% for the 2026 Italian Grand Prix constructor pole reflect deep uncertainty ahead of Monza's high-speed layout. Major regulatory shifts—including lighter chassis, active aerodynamics, a 50/50 electric-combustion power split, and an overtake mode replacing traditional DRS—have produced more evenly matched cars than in prior seasons, as confirmed during Bahrain pre-season testing where Ferrari posted strong pace but Mercedes demonstrated reliability advantages. Mid-season standings show Mercedes leading the constructors' championship ahead of Ferrari and McLaren, yet no team has established consistent qualifying dominance on power-sensitive circuits. New power unit suppliers (Audi, Ford/Red Bull) add further variables, while the arrival of Cadillac keeps the field unpredictable. These dynamics sustain tight trader consensus without a clear favorite.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes