Trader consensus prices USA at 41.5% and Türkiye at 36% to win Group D, reflecting a fiercely competitive group stage matchup defined by defensive resilience and narrow historical edges. As co-hosts, the USMNT benefits from home-soil advantage across venues like SoFi Stadium, bolstered by their No. 16 FIFA ranking and recent 2-1 friendly wins over Paraguay and Australia, though a 2-1 loss to Türkiye last year underscores the latter's threat via strong UEFA playoff triumphs (1-0 vs. Romania and Kosovo in late March). No major injuries reported from ongoing training camps as of early May, with captains like Christian Pulisic and Hakan Çalhanoğlu driving high-intensity sessions; Paraguay's rock-solid backline under Gustavo Gómez and Australia's gritty Socceroos form keep this race tight ahead of June openers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEstados Unidos 42%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 7.5%
$44,273 Vol.
$44,273 Vol.
Estados Unidos
42%
Türkiye
36%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
8%
Estados Unidos 42%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 7.5%
$44,273 Vol.
$44,273 Vol.
Estados Unidos
42%
Türkiye
36%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
8%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices USA at 41.5% and Türkiye at 36% to win Group D, reflecting a fiercely competitive group stage matchup defined by defensive resilience and narrow historical edges. As co-hosts, the USMNT benefits from home-soil advantage across venues like SoFi Stadium, bolstered by their No. 16 FIFA ranking and recent 2-1 friendly wins over Paraguay and Australia, though a 2-1 loss to Türkiye last year underscores the latter's threat via strong UEFA playoff triumphs (1-0 vs. Romania and Kosovo in late March). No major injuries reported from ongoing training camps as of early May, with captains like Christian Pulisic and Hakan Çalhanoğlu driving high-intensity sessions; Paraguay's rock-solid backline under Gustavo Gómez and Australia's gritty Socceroos form keep this race tight ahead of June openers.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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