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icon for ¿Los precios de alquiler de GPU (H100) suben o bajan en julio?

¿Los precios de alquiler de GPU (H100) suben o bajan en julio?

icon for ¿Los precios de alquiler de GPU (H100) suben o bajan en julio?

¿Los precios de alquiler de GPU (H100) suben o bajan en julio?

Suben

50% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Suben

50% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply from the ongoing Blackwell B200 ramp, combined with broader capacity additions across hyperscalers and neocloud providers, forms the core driver pushing trader consensus toward lower H100 rental prices in July. Spot and on-demand rates have already declined 30-40% since early May 2026 as newer GPUs absorb premium workloads and H100 shifts toward mainstream inference and training. Historical patterns show H100 median pricing falling from peaks above $7 per hour in 2024-2025 to the current $2-3 range, with further compression expected as data-center buildouts mature and demand normalizes. Key near-term catalysts include continued B200 availability and any hyperscaler order adjustments that could accelerate the supply glut. Traders view these dynamics as outweighing residual enterprise demand, creating an 80% implied probability of a July decline.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.

Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.Increased supply from the ongoing Blackwell B200 ramp, combined with broader capacity additions across hyperscalers and neocloud providers, forms the core driver pushing trader consensus toward lower H100 rental prices in July. Spot and on-demand rates have already declined 30-40% since early May 2026 as newer GPUs absorb premium workloads and H100 shifts toward mainstream inference and training. Historical patterns show H100 median pricing falling from peaks above $7 per hour in 2024-2025 to the current $2-3 range, with further compression expected as data-center buildouts mature and demand normalizes. Key near-term catalysts include continued B200 availability and any hyperscaler order adjustments that could accelerate the supply glut. Traders view these dynamics as outweighing residual enterprise demand, creating an 80% implied probability of a July decline.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month.

If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding.

The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.

This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time.

Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 10, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is higher than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Ornn H100 Index finalized price displayed for the last calendar day of the specified month is lower than the finalized price displayed for the most recent calendar day prior to the specified month. If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Prices will be used exactly as published by Ornn, without rounding. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as both specified prices are finalized. If price for the last calendar day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 14th calendar date afterward (ET), this market will resolve based on the most recent data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points, before all relevant data points have been finalized, will be considered. Revisions made after all relevant data points have been finalized will not be considered.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Los precios de alquiler de GPU (H100) suben o bajan en julio?" es un mercado de predicción diario en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre si el precio de ¿Los precios de alquiler de GPU terminará más alto ("Up") o más bajo ("Down") que su precio de apertura durante la ventana diario especificada en el título. La probabilidad actual del mercado es 50% para "Suben". Un precio de 50% significa que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Los precios se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores reaccionan a los movimientos de precio en vivo de ¿Los precios de alquiler de GPU. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Los precios de alquiler de GPU (H100) suben o bajan en julio?" es un mercado activo a corto plazo en Polymarket. El volumen de trading puede acumularse rápidamente a medida que avanza la ventana diario, entra temprano para ayudar a establecer las probabilidades antes de que esta ventana cierre.

Para operar en "¿Los precios de alquiler de GPU (H100) suben o bajan en julio?", decide si crees que el precio de ¿Los precios de alquiler de GPU al mediodía ET del July 31 será más alto ("Up") o más bajo ("Down") que al mediodía ET del July 10. Compra "Up" si crees que el precio subirá, o "Down" si crees que bajará. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado es correcto, cada acción paga $1,00. Si es incorrecto, las acciones valen $0.

La probabilidad actual para "¿Los precios de alquiler de GPU (H100) suben o bajan en julio?" es 50% para "Suben", lo que significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente asigna una probabilidad de 50% de que el precio de ¿Los precios de alquiler de GPU terminará suben durante esta ventana diario. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores reaccionan a los datos de precio en vivo de ¿Los precios de alquiler de GPU. Durante un día completo, las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento en evolución a medida que se desarrolla la acción de precio del día. Vuelve con frecuencia u opera ahora antes de que la ventana cierre.

El mercado "¿Los precios de alquiler de GPU (H100) suben o bajan en julio?" se resuelve comparando el precio de ¿Los precios de alquiler de GPU al mediodía ET del July 31 con el del mediodía ET del July 10, usando los precios de cierre de velas de 1 minuto de Binance GPU-RENTAL-PRICES-H100/USDT. Si el precio al mediodía del July 31 es mayor, el resultado es "Up"; si es menor, "Down"; si es igual, el mercado se resuelve 50-50. Puedes revisar los criterios completos en la sección "Reglas".