Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers show Amsterdam's July 31 maximum most likely reaching 23–24 °C under a mix of broken cloud and light northerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest despite peak summer insolation. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit extreme warmth. Traders therefore cluster probability on the narrow 23–24 °C band, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the resolution criteria that record the official KNMI daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 31 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 31 de julio?
24°C 48%
23°C 30%
25°C 14%
22°C 6%
NUEVO
$12,062 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,062 Vol.
31 jul 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
6%
23°C
30%
24°C
48%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 48%
23°C 30%
25°C 14%
22°C 6%
NUEVO
$12,062 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,062 Vol.
31 jul 2026
18°C or below
$267 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$644 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$710 Vol.
2%
22°C
$2,041 Vol.
6%
23°C
$1,963 Vol.
30%
24°C
$3,167 Vol.
48%
25°C
$1,100 Vol.
14%
26°C
$553 Vol.
5%
27°C
$513 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$314 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers show Amsterdam's July 31 maximum most likely reaching 23–24 °C under a mix of broken cloud and light northerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest despite peak summer insolation. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit extreme warmth. Traders therefore cluster probability on the narrow 23–24 °C band, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the resolution criteria that record the official KNMI daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$12,062Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers show Amsterdam's July 31 maximum most likely reaching 23–24 °C under a mix of broken cloud and light northerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest despite peak summer insolation. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit extreme warmth. Traders therefore cluster probability on the narrow 23–24 °C band, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the resolution criteria that record the official KNMI daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,062Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from European meteorological centers show Amsterdam's July 31 maximum most likely reaching 23–24 °C under a mix of broken cloud and light northerly flow, keeping daytime heating modest despite peak summer insolation. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainty in cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift the peak by 1–2 °C, while North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit extreme warmth. Traders therefore cluster probability on the narrow 23–24 °C band, reflecting both the tight forecast consensus and the resolution criteria that record the official KNMI daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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