Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 16 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 16 de julio?
22°C 30%
23°C 23%
21°C 14%
24°C 12.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jul 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
9%
21°C
14%
22°C
30%
23°C
23%
24°C
10%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 30%
23°C 23%
21°C 14%
24°C 12.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jul 2026
16°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$975 Vol.
1%
18°C
$163 Vol.
1%
19°C
$57 Vol.
5%
20°C
$74 Vol.
9%
21°C
$199 Vol.
14%
22°C
$174 Vol.
30%
23°C
$133 Vol.
23%
24°C
$310 Vol.
10%
25°C
$171 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$125 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$2,274Fecha de finalización
16 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,274Fecha de finalización
16 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly winds following the retreat of a polar air mass are the main driver lifting implied probabilities for a 22–23°C high in Buenos Aires on July 16, with those outcomes together commanding nearly half the market. Official guidance and ensemble models currently cluster near 21°C, a notable rise from early-July readings near 9–13°C and the seasonal average of 14–15°C. Subtle differences between 21°C and 23°C hinge on the exact timing of wind shifts and cloud cover, which can alter maximum temperatures by 1–2°C within the final 24 hours. Traders appear to price modest upside risk from continued warm advection while recognizing that any late southerly surge could cap the day closer to 20°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes