Persistent upper-level ridging over North Texas is driving clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover, sustaining a heat wave with official NWS guidance forecasting a Dallas high near 104°F on July 22 amid daytime temperatures already reaching the low 100s. Low soil moisture from prolonged dry conditions amplifies surface heating, pushing readings above the July normal of 96°F. Recent model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather supports the market's leading 104-105°F bin at 48% implied probability, while slight upside potential for 106-107°F reflects variability in steering patterns and any last-minute ridge strengthening before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 22 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 22 de julio?
104-105°F 40%
106-107°F 35%
102-103°F 16%
108-109°F 9%
NUEVO
$14,429 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,429 Vol.
22 jul 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
2%
102-103°F
16%
104-105°F
40%
106-107°F
35%
108-109°F
9%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
104-105°F 40%
106-107°F 35%
102-103°F 16%
108-109°F 9%
NUEVO
$14,429 Vol.
NUEVO
$14,429 Vol.
22 jul 2026
95°F or below
$2,204 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$422 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$385 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$831 Vol.
2%
102-103°F
$2,673 Vol.
16%
104-105°F
$2,036 Vol.
40%
106-107°F
$3,528 Vol.
35%
108-109°F
$1,049 Vol.
9%
110-111°F
$431 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$381 Vol.
<1%
114°F or higher
$490 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridging over North Texas is driving clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover, sustaining a heat wave with official NWS guidance forecasting a Dallas high near 104°F on July 22 amid daytime temperatures already reaching the low 100s. Low soil moisture from prolonged dry conditions amplifies surface heating, pushing readings above the July normal of 96°F. Recent model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather supports the market's leading 104-105°F bin at 48% implied probability, while slight upside potential for 106-107°F reflects variability in steering patterns and any last-minute ridge strengthening before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volumen
$14,429Fecha de finalización
22 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent upper-level ridging over North Texas is driving clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover, sustaining a heat wave with official NWS guidance forecasting a Dallas high near 104°F on July 22 amid daytime temperatures already reaching the low 100s. Low soil moisture from prolonged dry conditions amplifies surface heating, pushing readings above the July normal of 96°F. Recent model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather supports the market's leading 104-105°F bin at 48% implied probability, while slight upside potential for 106-107°F reflects variability in steering patterns and any last-minute ridge strengthening before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,429Fecha de finalización
22 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent upper-level ridging over North Texas is driving clear skies, strong solar insolation, and minimal cloud cover, sustaining a heat wave with official NWS guidance forecasting a Dallas high near 104°F on July 22 amid daytime temperatures already reaching the low 100s. Low soil moisture from prolonged dry conditions amplifies surface heating, pushing readings above the July normal of 96°F. Recent model consensus from NWS and AccuWeather supports the market's leading 104-105°F bin at 48% implied probability, while slight upside potential for 106-107°F reflects variability in steering patterns and any last-minute ridge strengthening before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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