Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate typical June highs of 28–32°C under the southwest monsoon, with persistent humidity above 80% and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C because variable cloud cover and timing of precipitation can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C on any given day, while brief clear intervals or reduced rainfall allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. Historical June climatology shows a 30–32°C average maximum, but model spread in the 48-hour window introduces uncertainty around exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping lower (≤30°C) and extreme (≥36°C) outcomes less favored yet plausible if steering patterns shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 21?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 21?
33°C 44%
32°C 25%
31°C 14%
34°C 13%
NUEVO
$17,478 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,478 Vol.
21 jun 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
14%
32°C
25%
33°C
44%
34°C
13%
35°C
4%
36°C or higher
<1%
33°C 44%
32°C 25%
31°C 14%
34°C 13%
NUEVO
$17,478 Vol.
NUEVO
$17,478 Vol.
21 jun 2026
26°C or below
$1,558 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,321 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,975 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,316 Vol.
2%
30°C
$1,630 Vol.
5%
31°C
$1,302 Vol.
14%
32°C
$1,486 Vol.
25%
33°C
$2,604 Vol.
44%
34°C
$1,979 Vol.
13%
35°C
$1,518 Vol.
4%
36°C or higher
$790 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate typical June highs of 28–32°C under the southwest monsoon, with persistent humidity above 80% and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C because variable cloud cover and timing of precipitation can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C on any given day, while brief clear intervals or reduced rainfall allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. Historical June climatology shows a 30–32°C average maximum, but model spread in the 48-hour window introduces uncertainty around exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping lower (≤30°C) and extreme (≥36°C) outcomes less favored yet plausible if steering patterns shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$17,478Fecha de finalización
21 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate typical June highs of 28–32°C under the southwest monsoon, with persistent humidity above 80% and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C because variable cloud cover and timing of precipitation can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C on any given day, while brief clear intervals or reduced rainfall allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. Historical June climatology shows a 30–32°C average maximum, but model spread in the 48-hour window introduces uncertainty around exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping lower (≤30°C) and extreme (≥36°C) outcomes less favored yet plausible if steering patterns shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$17,478Fecha de finalización
21 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 19, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate typical June highs of 28–32°C under the southwest monsoon, with persistent humidity above 80% and scattered showers limiting solar heating. Trader consensus clusters around 31–33°C because variable cloud cover and timing of precipitation can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C on any given day, while brief clear intervals or reduced rainfall allow brief spikes toward 34–35°C. Historical June climatology shows a 30–32°C average maximum, but model spread in the 48-hour window introduces uncertainty around exact insolation and boundary-layer mixing, keeping lower (≤30°C) and extreme (≥36°C) outcomes less favored yet plausible if steering patterns shift.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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