Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate an ongoing heatwave across Île-de-France will produce elevated overnight lows near 19–22°C for Paris on June 21, driven by high daytime maxima near 37°C, mostly clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds across 19°C-or-below through 22°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, including potential variations in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds. Historical June minima average around 12–14°C, but the anomalous warmth this week has shifted trader consensus toward milder outcomes while acknowledging that any late-model cooling or increased cloud cover could still alter the final recorded low before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 21 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 21 de junio?
21°C 29%
19°C o menos 17.5%
22°C 14%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 jun 2026
19°C o menos
18%
20°C
8%
21°C
29%
22°C
21%
23°C
12%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o más
<1%
21°C 29%
19°C o menos 17.5%
22°C 14%
23°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 jun 2026
19°C o menos
$281 Vol.
18%
20°C
$37 Vol.
8%
21°C
$58 Vol.
29%
22°C
$250 Vol.
21%
23°C
$47 Vol.
12%
24°C
$36 Vol.
3%
25°C
$136 Vol.
1%
26°C
$70 Vol.
1%
27°C
$320 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$315 Vol.
<1%
29°C o más
$145 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate an ongoing heatwave across Île-de-France will produce elevated overnight lows near 19–22°C for Paris on June 21, driven by high daytime maxima near 37°C, mostly clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds across 19°C-or-below through 22°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, including potential variations in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds. Historical June minima average around 12–14°C, but the anomalous warmth this week has shifted trader consensus toward milder outcomes while acknowledging that any late-model cooling or increased cloud cover could still alter the final recorded low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,695Fecha de finalización
21 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate an ongoing heatwave across Île-de-France will produce elevated overnight lows near 19–22°C for Paris on June 21, driven by high daytime maxima near 37°C, mostly clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds across 19°C-or-below through 22°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, including potential variations in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds. Historical June minima average around 12–14°C, but the anomalous warmth this week has shifted trader consensus toward milder outcomes while acknowledging that any late-model cooling or increased cloud cover could still alter the final recorded low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,695Fecha de finalización
21 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France and ensemble models indicate an ongoing heatwave across Île-de-France will produce elevated overnight lows near 19–22°C for Paris on June 21, driven by high daytime maxima near 37°C, mostly clear skies, and light southerly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. The closely matched market-implied odds across 19°C-or-below through 22°C reflect genuine uncertainty in short-range model runs, including potential variations in boundary-layer moisture and exact wind speeds. Historical June minima average around 12–14°C, but the anomalous warmth this week has shifted trader consensus toward milder outcomes while acknowledging that any late-model cooling or increased cloud cover could still alter the final recorded low before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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