Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 11 most likely between 24°C and 25°C, driven by northeasterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while allowing partial cloud cover to moderate afternoon maxima. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows consistency with early-summer climatology, where average highs reach 25–26°C amid typical sea-breeze influences from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea. Minor model spread arises from differences in simulated boundary-layer mixing and low-level moisture, keeping the two leading outcomes closely matched. Final hourly observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
24°C 35%
25°C 29%
23°C 17%
26°C 9%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
17%
24°C
35%
25°C
29%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 35%
25°C 29%
23°C 17%
26°C 9%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
17%
24°C
35%
25°C
29%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models indicate a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 11 most likely between 24°C and 25°C, driven by northeasterly flow under a stable high-pressure ridge that limits daytime heating while allowing partial cloud cover to moderate afternoon maxima. Official guidance from regional meteorological centers shows consistency with early-summer climatology, where average highs reach 25–26°C amid typical sea-breeze influences from the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea. Minor model spread arises from differences in simulated boundary-layer mixing and low-level moisture, keeping the two leading outcomes closely matched. Final hourly observations tomorrow will resolve the market once the daily maximum is recorded at official stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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