Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 12 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 12 de junio?
17°C 100.0%
10°C o menos <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$14,106 Vol.
$14,106 Vol.
12 jun 2026
10°C o menos
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Sí
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C o más
No
17°C 100.0%
10°C o menos <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$14,106 Vol.
$14,106 Vol.
12 jun 2026
10°C o menos
$857 Vol.
No
11°C
$1,015 Vol.
No
12°C
$1,222 Vol.
No
13°C
$916 Vol.
No
14°C
$552 Vol.
No
15°C
$980 Vol.
No
16°C
$1,850 Vol.
No
17°C
$2,663 Vol.
Sí
18°C
$2,142 Vol.
No
19°C
$1,507 Vol.
No
20°C o más
$401 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$14,106Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,106Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus strongly favors a 17°C minimum for Paris on June 12, 2026, reflecting model convergence on limited nocturnal cooling under persistent cloud cover, light winds, and a building ridge. These conditions have suppressed the typical diurnal temperature drop, keeping overnight lows near the upper end of June climatology (normally 12–14°C). Official guidance from Météo-France and European ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) indicates surface temperatures bottoming out around 17°C at the Paris-Le Bourget reference station, with minimal radiational cooling under moist, stable air masses. Realistic challenges include unexpected clear-sky development enabling greater heat loss or station-specific measurement variations that could shift the recorded low to 16°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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