Building high pressure over western Europe and associated clear skies are the main drivers pushing Paris temperatures toward a peak near 29–30°C on June 16, with recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF showing a continuation of the warm spell that delivered 30–31°C readings on June 14. Subsidence and light winds limit cloud formation and mixing, allowing strong daytime heating under June insolation, while soil moisture from earlier rains moderates extremes. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer schemes create the narrow market clustering around 28–30°C, with lower probabilities for 31°C+ reflecting modest uncertainty in exact maximum timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated 48-hour forecasts and observational data from Météo-France stations will refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on June 16?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 16?
29°C 32%
30°C 24%
28°C 21%
31°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
7%
28°C
21%
29°C
32%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
30°C 24%
28°C 21%
31°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
25°C or below
$142 Vol.
1%
26°C
$422 Vol.
4%
27°C
$381 Vol.
7%
28°C
$282 Vol.
21%
29°C
$441 Vol.
32%
30°C
$428 Vol.
24%
31°C
$772 Vol.
9%
32°C
$165 Vol.
3%
33°C
$283 Vol.
1%
34°C
$80 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$177 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Building high pressure over western Europe and associated clear skies are the main drivers pushing Paris temperatures toward a peak near 29–30°C on June 16, with recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF showing a continuation of the warm spell that delivered 30–31°C readings on June 14. Subsidence and light winds limit cloud formation and mixing, allowing strong daytime heating under June insolation, while soil moisture from earlier rains moderates extremes. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer schemes create the narrow market clustering around 28–30°C, with lower probabilities for 31°C+ reflecting modest uncertainty in exact maximum timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated 48-hour forecasts and observational data from Météo-France stations will refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volumen
$3,472Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Building high pressure over western Europe and associated clear skies are the main drivers pushing Paris temperatures toward a peak near 29–30°C on June 16, with recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF showing a continuation of the warm spell that delivered 30–31°C readings on June 14. Subsidence and light winds limit cloud formation and mixing, allowing strong daytime heating under June insolation, while soil moisture from earlier rains moderates extremes. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer schemes create the narrow market clustering around 28–30°C, with lower probabilities for 31°C+ reflecting modest uncertainty in exact maximum timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated 48-hour forecasts and observational data from Météo-France stations will refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,472Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Building high pressure over western Europe and associated clear skies are the main drivers pushing Paris temperatures toward a peak near 29–30°C on June 16, with recent model runs from Météo-France and ECMWF showing a continuation of the warm spell that delivered 30–31°C readings on June 14. Subsidence and light winds limit cloud formation and mixing, allowing strong daytime heating under June insolation, while soil moisture from earlier rains moderates extremes. Ensemble spreads and slight differences in boundary-layer schemes create the narrow market clustering around 28–30°C, with lower probabilities for 31°C+ reflecting modest uncertainty in exact maximum timing and urban heat-island effects. Updated 48-hour forecasts and observational data from Météo-France stations will refine these outcomes ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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