Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs project Paris overnight lows in the 17–20 °C range for June 16, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern, light winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies that reduce heat loss. These factors differentiate the closely matched market outcomes, as even modest changes in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Typical June climatology centers on 12–15 °C lows, but the current warmer anomaly and urban heat-island effect at official stations support the elevated trader consensus. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next model update cycle will likely tighten the distribution further before final settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 16 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 16 de junio?
19°C 26%
20°C 23%
17°C 20%
18°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
16°C o menos
8%
17°C
20%
18°C
14%
19°C
26%
20°C
23%
21°C
5%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
19°C 26%
20°C 23%
17°C 20%
18°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
16°C o menos
$25 Vol.
8%
17°C
$10 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
14%
19°C
$0 Vol.
26%
20°C
$0 Vol.
23%
21°C
$44 Vol.
5%
22°C
$0 Vol.
5%
23°C
$23 Vol.
1%
24°C
$22 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
26°C o más
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs project Paris overnight lows in the 17–20 °C range for June 16, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern, light winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies that reduce heat loss. These factors differentiate the closely matched market outcomes, as even modest changes in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Typical June climatology centers on 12–15 °C lows, but the current warmer anomaly and urban heat-island effect at official stations support the elevated trader consensus. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next model update cycle will likely tighten the distribution further before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$147Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs project Paris overnight lows in the 17–20 °C range for June 16, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern, light winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies that reduce heat loss. These factors differentiate the closely matched market outcomes, as even modest changes in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Typical June climatology centers on 12–15 °C lows, but the current warmer anomaly and urban heat-island effect at official stations support the elevated trader consensus. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next model update cycle will likely tighten the distribution further before final settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$147Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs project Paris overnight lows in the 17–20 °C range for June 16, driven by a stable high-pressure pattern, light winds, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies that reduce heat loss. These factors differentiate the closely matched market outcomes, as even modest changes in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift the minimum by 1–2 °C. Typical June climatology centers on 12–15 °C lows, but the current warmer anomaly and urban heat-island effect at official stations support the elevated trader consensus. With resolution less than 48 hours away, the next model update cycle will likely tighten the distribution further before final settlement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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