Recent KMA short-range forecasts and observational data show Seoul's daytime high stabilizing at 26°C under clear to mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and low precipitation probability. This consensus stems from stable atmospheric conditions typical for mid-June in the region, where maximum temperatures are recorded from 9 AM onward per official protocols, aligning closely with ensemble model outputs rather than outlier runs. The 99.8% market-implied odds reflect traders' confidence in this verified range, consistent with climatological baselines for early summer before monsoon intensification. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from localized heating or revised station readings exceeding the threshold, though current guidance indicates minimal variance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 14 de junio?
26°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
29°C o más <1%
19°C o menos <1%
$228,244 Vol.
$228,244 Vol.
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C o más
<1%
26°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
29°C o más <1%
19°C o menos <1%
$228,244 Vol.
$228,244 Vol.
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA short-range forecasts and observational data show Seoul's daytime high stabilizing at 26°C under clear to mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds and low precipitation probability. This consensus stems from stable atmospheric conditions typical for mid-June in the region, where maximum temperatures are recorded from 9 AM onward per official protocols, aligning closely with ensemble model outputs rather than outlier runs. The 99.8% market-implied odds reflect traders' confidence in this verified range, consistent with climatological baselines for early summer before monsoon intensification. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from localized heating or revised station readings exceeding the threshold, though current guidance indicates minimal variance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes