Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to minimum temperatures of 25–26°C on June 16, driven by expected showers and mostly cloudy skies that reduce overnight radiative cooling. Historical June averages near 26°C provide context, while current model runs emphasize persistent humidity above 80% and limited diurnal temperature swings. These conditions align with the market-implied odds favoring 26°C at 37.5%, followed by 27°C and 25°C, as traders weigh the narrow forecast range against typical variability from passing tropical moisture. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 16 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 16 de junio?
26°C 38%
27°C 21%
28°C 15%
25°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
14%
26°C
38%
27°C
21%
28°C
15%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
<1%
26°C 38%
27°C 21%
28°C 15%
25°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
21°C o menos
$325 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$15 Vol.
1%
23°C
$22 Vol.
1%
24°C
$16 Vol.
4%
25°C
$16 Vol.
14%
26°C
$21 Vol.
38%
27°C
$7 Vol.
21%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$22 Vol.
1%
30°C
$22 Vol.
1%
31°C o más
$27 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to minimum temperatures of 25–26°C on June 16, driven by expected showers and mostly cloudy skies that reduce overnight radiative cooling. Historical June averages near 26°C provide context, while current model runs emphasize persistent humidity above 80% and limited diurnal temperature swings. These conditions align with the market-implied odds favoring 26°C at 37.5%, followed by 27°C and 25°C, as traders weigh the narrow forecast range against typical variability from passing tropical moisture. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$486Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to minimum temperatures of 25–26°C on June 16, driven by expected showers and mostly cloudy skies that reduce overnight radiative cooling. Historical June averages near 26°C provide context, while current model runs emphasize persistent humidity above 80% and limited diurnal temperature swings. These conditions align with the market-implied odds favoring 26°C at 37.5%, followed by 27°C and 25°C, as traders weigh the narrow forecast range against typical variability from passing tropical moisture. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$486Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model consensus point to minimum temperatures of 25–26°C on June 16, driven by expected showers and mostly cloudy skies that reduce overnight radiative cooling. Historical June averages near 26°C provide context, while current model runs emphasize persistent humidity above 80% and limited diurnal temperature swings. These conditions align with the market-implied odds favoring 26°C at 37.5%, followed by 27°C and 25°C, as traders weigh the narrow forecast range against typical variability from passing tropical moisture. Updated model guidance ahead of the date remains the key variable that could shift probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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