Recent forecasts from European meteorological models and observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 17°C amid mostly cloudy skies, thundery showers, and moderate westerly winds around 15–25 km/h. This consensus stems from stable atmospheric conditions with limited solar heating and no significant warm-air advection, aligning closely with the 16–17°C range in official guidance from sources like the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. The market's 99.4% implied probability on exactly 17°C reflects traders' confidence in these real-time data and minimal forecast spread. A sudden clearing of clouds or unexpected southerly flow could push readings higher, though current trends make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 14 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 14 de junio?
17°C 99.3%
18°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
10°C o menos <1%
$69,226 Vol.
$69,226 Vol.
14 jun 2026
10°C o menos
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
99%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
17°C 99.3%
18°C 1.0%
19°C <1%
10°C o menos <1%
$69,226 Vol.
$69,226 Vol.
14 jun 2026
10°C o menos
$369 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$472 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$997 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,175 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$8,499 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$14,141 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$9,887 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$13,176 Vol.
99%
18°C
$7,681 Vol.
1%
19°C
$6,558 Vol.
<1%
20°C o más
$6,786 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models and observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 17°C amid mostly cloudy skies, thundery showers, and moderate westerly winds around 15–25 km/h. This consensus stems from stable atmospheric conditions with limited solar heating and no significant warm-air advection, aligning closely with the 16–17°C range in official guidance from sources like the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. The market's 99.4% implied probability on exactly 17°C reflects traders' confidence in these real-time data and minimal forecast spread. A sudden clearing of clouds or unexpected southerly flow could push readings higher, though current trends make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$69,226Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European meteorological models and observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 17°C amid mostly cloudy skies, thundery showers, and moderate westerly winds around 15–25 km/h. This consensus stems from stable atmospheric conditions with limited solar heating and no significant warm-air advection, aligning closely with the 16–17°C range in official guidance from sources like the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. The market's 99.4% implied probability on exactly 17°C reflects traders' confidence in these real-time data and minimal forecast spread. A sudden clearing of clouds or unexpected southerly flow could push readings higher, though current trends make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$69,226Fecha de finalización
14 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European meteorological models and observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport show a daily maximum temperature stabilizing at 17°C amid mostly cloudy skies, thundery showers, and moderate westerly winds around 15–25 km/h. This consensus stems from stable atmospheric conditions with limited solar heating and no significant warm-air advection, aligning closely with the 16–17°C range in official guidance from sources like the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. The market's 99.4% implied probability on exactly 17°C reflects traders' confidence in these real-time data and minimal forecast spread. A sudden clearing of clouds or unexpected southerly flow could push readings higher, though current trends make substantial deviation unlikely before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes