Recent meteorological forecasts indicate a daily maximum temperature in Moscow near 18°C today, driven by widespread cloud cover, light precipitation, and a moderate northerly airflow that has suppressed daytime heating below seasonal norms. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional guidance shows limited warming potential, with afternoon peaks constrained around 17–19°C amid overcast conditions, aligning closely with the market-implied odds favoring 18°C. Historical June averages for the city hover near 21–22°C, but current synoptic patterns have shifted probabilities sharply toward cooler outcomes. Official station readings at day's end will resolve the market, with any late clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 19°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 14?
18°C 84.1%
19°C 7%
20°C 3.4%
21°C 2.6%
$60,815 Vol.
$60,815 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
84%
19°C
11%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
18°C 84.1%
19°C 7%
20°C 3.4%
21°C 2.6%
$60,815 Vol.
$60,815 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
84%
19°C
11%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts indicate a daily maximum temperature in Moscow near 18°C today, driven by widespread cloud cover, light precipitation, and a moderate northerly airflow that has suppressed daytime heating below seasonal norms. Model consensus from sources such as the Met Office and regional guidance shows limited warming potential, with afternoon peaks constrained around 17–19°C amid overcast conditions, aligning closely with the market-implied odds favoring 18°C. Historical June averages for the city hover near 21–22°C, but current synoptic patterns have shifted probabilities sharply toward cooler outcomes. Official station readings at day's end will resolve the market, with any late clearing potentially allowing brief spikes toward 19°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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