Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C in Taipei on June 14, 2026, with persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thunderstorms limiting solar heating and capping temperatures below seasonal averages. This aligns with observed atmospheric conditions suppressing diurnal warming, consistent with climatological patterns for early summer when moisture-laden flow from the monsoon trough often produces similar capped highs around 28–30°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 28°C outcome reflects real-time integration of official model runs and observational data, with the narrow uncertainty range underscoring high confidence in the forecast envelope. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by Central Weather Administration stations; deviations could arise only from localized microclimate effects or last-minute model shifts not yet reflected in current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Taipéi el 14 de junio?
28°C 100.0%
23°C o menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$61,926 Vol.
$61,926 Vol.
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
28°C 100.0%
23°C o menos <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$61,926 Vol.
$61,926 Vol.
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range ensemble forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration indicate a daytime maximum near 28°C in Taipei on June 14, 2026, with persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and thunderstorms limiting solar heating and capping temperatures below seasonal averages. This aligns with observed atmospheric conditions suppressing diurnal warming, consistent with climatological patterns for early summer when moisture-laden flow from the monsoon trough often produces similar capped highs around 28–30°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 28°C outcome reflects real-time integration of official model runs and observational data, with the narrow uncertainty range underscoring high confidence in the forecast envelope. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded by Central Weather Administration stations; deviations could arise only from localized microclimate effects or last-minute model shifts not yet reflected in current guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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