Current forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC points to a maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 16, with some guidance reaching 34°C, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward these outcomes. Seasonal progression into peak early-summer warmth, combined with high-pressure dominance and warm-air advection from the south, supports highs in this narrow band under mostly clear skies. Recent model runs show limited spread, though slight revisions in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C either way before resolution. Historical June maxima at AEMET’s Retiro station average near 29–30°C, making the current setup mildly above normal but not extreme. Traders are closely watching the next AEMET and ECMWF updates for any adjustments to the expected peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 16?
33°C 48%
34°C 27%
32°C 21%
31°C 4.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
21%
33°C
48%
34°C
27%
35°C
3%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 48%
34°C 27%
32°C 21%
31°C 4.6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 jun 2026
30°C or below
$375 Vol.
1%
31°C
$596 Vol.
5%
32°C
$340 Vol.
21%
33°C
$454 Vol.
48%
34°C
$289 Vol.
27%
35°C
$125 Vol.
3%
36°C
$119 Vol.
1%
37°C
$634 Vol.
1%
38°C
$443 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$371 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$456 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC points to a maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 16, with some guidance reaching 34°C, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward these outcomes. Seasonal progression into peak early-summer warmth, combined with high-pressure dominance and warm-air advection from the south, supports highs in this narrow band under mostly clear skies. Recent model runs show limited spread, though slight revisions in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C either way before resolution. Historical June maxima at AEMET’s Retiro station average near 29–30°C, making the current setup mildly above normal but not extreme. Traders are closely watching the next AEMET and ECMWF updates for any adjustments to the expected peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$4,183Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC points to a maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 16, with some guidance reaching 34°C, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward these outcomes. Seasonal progression into peak early-summer warmth, combined with high-pressure dominance and warm-air advection from the south, supports highs in this narrow band under mostly clear skies. Recent model runs show limited spread, though slight revisions in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C either way before resolution. Historical June maxima at AEMET’s Retiro station average near 29–30°C, making the current setup mildly above normal but not extreme. Traders are closely watching the next AEMET and ECMWF updates for any adjustments to the expected peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,183Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC points to a maximum of 33°C in Madrid on June 16, with some guidance reaching 34°C, driving the market's heaviest weighting toward these outcomes. Seasonal progression into peak early-summer warmth, combined with high-pressure dominance and warm-air advection from the south, supports highs in this narrow band under mostly clear skies. Recent model runs show limited spread, though slight revisions in steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing could shift the peak by 1°C either way before resolution. Historical June maxima at AEMET’s Retiro station average near 29–30°C, making the current setup mildly above normal but not extreme. Traders are closely watching the next AEMET and ECMWF updates for any adjustments to the expected peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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