Recent pre-monsoon heat across northern India, with Lucknow recording daily maxima near 42°C on June 14, sustains trader focus on 38–39°C outcomes for June 16. Short-range guidance from the India Meteorological Department and global models shows limited intensification potential as a western disturbance introduces scattered cloud cover and isolated thundershowers, capping peaks near climatological June averages of 38–40°C. Low-level moisture advection and strengthening surface winds further moderate daytime heating, while historical analogs indicate rare excursions above 42°C this early in the season before full monsoon arrival. Updated model runs and IMD briefings on June 15 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 16?
38°C 37%
39°C 24%
37°C 15%
36°C 8.8%
35°C or below
2%
36°C
9%
37°C
15%
38°C
37%
39°C
24%
40°C
8%
41°C
3%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C or higher
<1%
38°C 37%
39°C 24%
37°C 15%
36°C 8.8%
35°C or below
2%
36°C
9%
37°C
15%
38°C
37%
39°C
24%
40°C
8%
41°C
3%
42°C
1%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 14, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent pre-monsoon heat across northern India, with Lucknow recording daily maxima near 42°C on June 14, sustains trader focus on 38–39°C outcomes for June 16. Short-range guidance from the India Meteorological Department and global models shows limited intensification potential as a western disturbance introduces scattered cloud cover and isolated thundershowers, capping peaks near climatological June averages of 38–40°C. Low-level moisture advection and strengthening surface winds further moderate daytime heating, while historical analogs indicate rare excursions above 42°C this early in the season before full monsoon arrival. Updated model runs and IMD briefings on June 15 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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