**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 15 highest temperature centers on 37–38°C (combined ~64% implied probability) due to expected moderation from a western disturbance and moisture incursion, despite seasonal pre-monsoon heat.** IMD short-range guidance highlights partly cloudy skies with possible thundery development and rain/thundershowers at isolated places over Uttar Pradesh, which typically caps daytime maxima by increasing cloud cover, humidity, and evaporative cooling. Recent realized temperatures (around 39°C) and model consensus show this synoptic shift arriving around June 15, differentiating 37°C versus 38°C outcomes based on exact timing and intensity of moisture advection. Higher outcomes (39°C+) remain plausible if steering patterns limit cloud buildup or if insolation dominates, while lower ones (≤36°C) would require stronger or earlier precipitation. Private forecasts diverge higher (43–45°C), but market pricing aligns closely with IMD's authoritative observations and criteria for resolution, reflecting traders' emphasis on official data amid forecast uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 15 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 15 de junio?
38°C 35%
37°C 30%
39°C 16%
36°C 8%
NUEVO
$12,120 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,120 Vol.
15 jun 2026
34°C o menos
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
8%
37°C
30%
38°C
35%
39°C
16%
40°C
6%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C o más
<1%
38°C 35%
37°C 30%
39°C 16%
36°C 8%
NUEVO
$12,120 Vol.
NUEVO
$12,120 Vol.
15 jun 2026
34°C o menos
$1,968 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,050 Vol.
3%
36°C
$576 Vol.
8%
37°C
$258 Vol.
30%
38°C
$835 Vol.
35%
39°C
$1,625 Vol.
16%
40°C
$1,230 Vol.
6%
41°C
$2,198 Vol.
1%
42°C
$645 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$1,184 Vol.
<1%
44°C o más
$662 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 15 highest temperature centers on 37–38°C (combined ~64% implied probability) due to expected moderation from a western disturbance and moisture incursion, despite seasonal pre-monsoon heat.**
IMD short-range guidance highlights partly cloudy skies with possible thundery development and rain/thundershowers at isolated places over Uttar Pradesh, which typically caps daytime maxima by increasing cloud cover, humidity, and evaporative cooling. Recent realized temperatures (around 39°C) and model consensus show this synoptic shift arriving around June 15, differentiating 37°C versus 38°C outcomes based on exact timing and intensity of moisture advection. Higher outcomes (39°C+) remain plausible if steering patterns limit cloud buildup or if insolation dominates, while lower ones (≤36°C) would require stronger or earlier precipitation.
Private forecasts diverge higher (43–45°C), but market pricing aligns closely with IMD's authoritative observations and criteria for resolution, reflecting traders' emphasis on official data amid forecast uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$12,120Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 15 highest temperature centers on 37–38°C (combined ~64% implied probability) due to expected moderation from a western disturbance and moisture incursion, despite seasonal pre-monsoon heat.**
IMD short-range guidance highlights partly cloudy skies with possible thundery development and rain/thundershowers at isolated places over Uttar Pradesh, which typically caps daytime maxima by increasing cloud cover, humidity, and evaporative cooling. Recent realized temperatures (around 39°C) and model consensus show this synoptic shift arriving around June 15, differentiating 37°C versus 38°C outcomes based on exact timing and intensity of moisture advection. Higher outcomes (39°C+) remain plausible if steering patterns limit cloud buildup or if insolation dominates, while lower ones (≤36°C) would require stronger or earlier precipitation.
Private forecasts diverge higher (43–45°C), but market pricing aligns closely with IMD's authoritative observations and criteria for resolution, reflecting traders' emphasis on official data amid forecast uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$12,120Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's June 15 highest temperature centers on 37–38°C (combined ~64% implied probability) due to expected moderation from a western disturbance and moisture incursion, despite seasonal pre-monsoon heat.** IMD short-range guidance highlights partly cloudy skies with possible thundery development and rain/thundershowers at isolated places over Uttar Pradesh, which typically caps daytime maxima by increasing cloud cover, humidity, and evaporative cooling. Recent realized temperatures (around 39°C) and model consensus show this synoptic shift arriving around June 15, differentiating 37°C versus 38°C outcomes based on exact timing and intensity of moisture advection. Higher outcomes (39°C+) remain plausible if steering patterns limit cloud buildup or if insolation dominates, while lower ones (≤36°C) would require stronger or earlier precipitation. Private forecasts diverge higher (43–45°C), but market pricing aligns closely with IMD's authoritative observations and criteria for resolution, reflecting traders' emphasis on official data amid forecast uncertainty in the 24–48 hour window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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