Southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover represent the dominant driver behind trader consensus favoring a 28–29°C high for Manila on August 17, with PAGASA forecasts projecting a maximum near 29°C amid 60% rain chances. Persistent habagat winds enhance convective rainfall and reduce insolation across western Luzon, suppressing peak temperatures below the drier-season climatological average of 30–31°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from these moderated conditions, while historical wet-season observations confirm humidity and precipitation typically cap extremes in this range. Resolution hinges on official PAGASA maximum readings, leaving limited room for upward shifts unless monsoon breaks allow clearer skies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 17 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 17 de agosto?
29°C 45%
28°C 30%
30°C 17%
31°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
30%
29°C
45%
30°C
17%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C o más
1%
29°C 45%
28°C 30%
30°C 17%
31°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
17 ago 2026
23°C o menos
$92 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$109 Vol.
1%
26°C
$348 Vol.
1%
27°C
$152 Vol.
4%
28°C
$220 Vol.
30%
29°C
$1,726 Vol.
45%
30°C
$148 Vol.
17%
31°C
$282 Vol.
6%
32°C
$444 Vol.
1%
33°C o más
$273 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover represent the dominant driver behind trader consensus favoring a 28–29°C high for Manila on August 17, with PAGASA forecasts projecting a maximum near 29°C amid 60% rain chances. Persistent habagat winds enhance convective rainfall and reduce insolation across western Luzon, suppressing peak temperatures below the drier-season climatological average of 30–31°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from these moderated conditions, while historical wet-season observations confirm humidity and precipitation typically cap extremes in this range. Resolution hinges on official PAGASA maximum readings, leaving limited room for upward shifts unless monsoon breaks allow clearer skies.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ET
Volumen
$3,887Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover represent the dominant driver behind trader consensus favoring a 28–29°C high for Manila on August 17, with PAGASA forecasts projecting a maximum near 29°C amid 60% rain chances. Persistent habagat winds enhance convective rainfall and reduce insolation across western Luzon, suppressing peak temperatures below the drier-season climatological average of 30–31°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from these moderated conditions, while historical wet-season observations confirm humidity and precipitation typically cap extremes in this range. Resolution hinges on official PAGASA maximum readings, leaving limited room for upward shifts unless monsoon breaks allow clearer skies.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,887Fecha de finalización
17 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:09 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Southwest monsoon activity and associated cloud cover represent the dominant driver behind trader consensus favoring a 28–29°C high for Manila on August 17, with PAGASA forecasts projecting a maximum near 29°C amid 60% rain chances. Persistent habagat winds enhance convective rainfall and reduce insolation across western Luzon, suppressing peak temperatures below the drier-season climatological average of 30–31°C. Recent model runs show minimal deviation from these moderated conditions, while historical wet-season observations confirm humidity and precipitation typically cap extremes in this range. Resolution hinges on official PAGASA maximum readings, leaving limited room for upward shifts unless monsoon breaks allow clearer skies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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