Cold southerly winds advecting polar maritime air and persistent low cloud are suppressing Wellington's daytime maximum below the seasonal average of around 12–13°C on August 16. Official guidance from MetService and Met Office models currently points to a high of 8–9°C amid scattered showers, with strong southerlies limiting diurnal warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 64.5% implied probability on 10°C, appears anchored to minor upward revisions in ensemble guidance or uncertainty around exact wind timing and cloud cover. Recent NIWA seasonal outlooks note near- or below-average temperatures for the region this winter, consistent with the cold air mass now in place. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 16 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 16 de agosto?
10°C 65%
9°C 21%
11°C 13%
12°C 2%
NUEVO
$18,927 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,927 Vol.
16 ago 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
2%
9°C
21%
10°C
65%
11°C
13%
12°C
2%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 65%
9°C 21%
11°C 13%
12°C 2%
NUEVO
$18,927 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,927 Vol.
16 ago 2026
4°C or below
$223 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$907 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,049 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$2,630 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$2,445 Vol.
2%
9°C
$3,908 Vol.
21%
10°C
$3,581 Vol.
65%
11°C
$1,977 Vol.
13%
12°C
$1,382 Vol.
2%
13°C
$539 Vol.
<1%
14°C or higher
$287 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cold southerly winds advecting polar maritime air and persistent low cloud are suppressing Wellington's daytime maximum below the seasonal average of around 12–13°C on August 16. Official guidance from MetService and Met Office models currently points to a high of 8–9°C amid scattered showers, with strong southerlies limiting diurnal warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 64.5% implied probability on 10°C, appears anchored to minor upward revisions in ensemble guidance or uncertainty around exact wind timing and cloud cover. Recent NIWA seasonal outlooks note near- or below-average temperatures for the region this winter, consistent with the cold air mass now in place. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$18,927Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cold southerly winds advecting polar maritime air and persistent low cloud are suppressing Wellington's daytime maximum below the seasonal average of around 12–13°C on August 16. Official guidance from MetService and Met Office models currently points to a high of 8–9°C amid scattered showers, with strong southerlies limiting diurnal warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 64.5% implied probability on 10°C, appears anchored to minor upward revisions in ensemble guidance or uncertainty around exact wind timing and cloud cover. Recent NIWA seasonal outlooks note near- or below-average temperatures for the region this winter, consistent with the cold air mass now in place. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$18,927Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cold southerly winds advecting polar maritime air and persistent low cloud are suppressing Wellington's daytime maximum below the seasonal average of around 12–13°C on August 16. Official guidance from MetService and Met Office models currently points to a high of 8–9°C amid scattered showers, with strong southerlies limiting diurnal warming. Trader consensus, reflected in the 64.5% implied probability on 10°C, appears anchored to minor upward revisions in ensemble guidance or uncertainty around exact wind timing and cloud cover. Recent NIWA seasonal outlooks note near- or below-average temperatures for the region this winter, consistent with the cold air mass now in place. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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