Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate a cooldown following an intense heatwave, with increased cloud cover and possible showers moderating overnight radiative cooling over northern France. This supports minimum temperatures in Paris on August 16 likely near 17–19°C according to authoritative sources such as Météo-France, the UK Met Office, and BBC Weather. The implied probabilities—led by 18°C or below at 51%—reflect trader consensus on these conditions limiting extreme lows while preventing significant warming. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and humidity levels that control the diurnal temperature range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 16 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en París el 16 de agosto?
18°C o menos 52%
19°C 44%
20°C 16%
21°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
18°C o menos
52%
19°C
34%
20°C
16%
21°C
10%
22°C
9%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o más
<1%
18°C o menos 52%
19°C 44%
20°C 16%
21°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
16 ago 2026
18°C o menos
$188 Vol.
52%
19°C
$0 Vol.
34%
20°C
$0 Vol.
16%
21°C
$497 Vol.
10%
22°C
$36 Vol.
9%
23°C
$53 Vol.
5%
24°C
$15 Vol.
1%
25°C
$10 Vol.
1%
26°C
$10 Vol.
1%
27°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
28°C o más
$10 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate a cooldown following an intense heatwave, with increased cloud cover and possible showers moderating overnight radiative cooling over northern France. This supports minimum temperatures in Paris on August 16 likely near 17–19°C according to authoritative sources such as Météo-France, the UK Met Office, and BBC Weather. The implied probabilities—led by 18°C or below at 51%—reflect trader consensus on these conditions limiting extreme lows while preventing significant warming. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and humidity levels that control the diurnal temperature range.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Volumen
$830Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate a cooldown following an intense heatwave, with increased cloud cover and possible showers moderating overnight radiative cooling over northern France. This supports minimum temperatures in Paris on August 16 likely near 17–19°C according to authoritative sources such as Météo-France, the UK Met Office, and BBC Weather. The implied probabilities—led by 18°C or below at 51%—reflect trader consensus on these conditions limiting extreme lows while preventing significant warming. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and humidity levels that control the diurnal temperature range.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$830Fecha de finalización
16 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models indicate a cooldown following an intense heatwave, with increased cloud cover and possible showers moderating overnight radiative cooling over northern France. This supports minimum temperatures in Paris on August 16 likely near 17–19°C according to authoritative sources such as Météo-France, the UK Met Office, and BBC Weather. The implied probabilities—led by 18°C or below at 51%—reflect trader consensus on these conditions limiting extreme lows while preventing significant warming. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and humidity levels that control the diurnal temperature range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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