Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate a maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on August 14 under stable high-pressure conditions with moderate northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's strong 59% implied probability for 26°C, reflecting model consensus on sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer moisture that caps afternoon heating below the 28°C August climatological average. Subtle variations in 10-meter winds and humidity keep 25°C plausible at 27.5% while limiting upside risk above 27°C to under 15% combined. Official guidance shows no incoming fronts or significant instability through the period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 14 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 14 de agosto?
26°C 59%
25°C 28%
27°C 10%
24°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
23°C o menos
<1%
24°C
5%
25°C
28%
26°C
59%
27°C
10%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o más
<1%
26°C 59%
25°C 28%
27°C 10%
24°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 ago 2026
23°C o menos
$116 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$262 Vol.
5%
25°C
$319 Vol.
28%
26°C
$1,134 Vol.
59%
27°C
$494 Vol.
10%
28°C
$333 Vol.
3%
29°C
$291 Vol.
1%
30°C
$230 Vol.
1%
31°C
$370 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$452 Vol.
<1%
33°C o más
$126 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate a maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on August 14 under stable high-pressure conditions with moderate northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's strong 59% implied probability for 26°C, reflecting model consensus on sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer moisture that caps afternoon heating below the 28°C August climatological average. Subtle variations in 10-meter winds and humidity keep 25°C plausible at 27.5% while limiting upside risk above 27°C to under 15% combined. Official guidance shows no incoming fronts or significant instability through the period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$4,126Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate a maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on August 14 under stable high-pressure conditions with moderate northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's strong 59% implied probability for 26°C, reflecting model consensus on sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer moisture that caps afternoon heating below the 28°C August climatological average. Subtle variations in 10-meter winds and humidity keep 25°C plausible at 27.5% while limiting upside risk above 27°C to under 15% combined. Official guidance shows no incoming fronts or significant instability through the period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,126Fecha de finalización
14 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate indicate a maximum of 26°C for Istanbul on August 14 under stable high-pressure conditions with moderate northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover. This aligns with the market's strong 59% implied probability for 26°C, reflecting model consensus on sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer moisture that caps afternoon heating below the 28°C August climatological average. Subtle variations in 10-meter winds and humidity keep 25°C plausible at 27.5% while limiting upside risk above 27°C to under 15% combined. Official guidance shows no incoming fronts or significant instability through the period.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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