Recent MetService and regional model consensus positions a 15°C daytime maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 13, reflecting light northerly flow, overcast skies, and limited diurnal warming typical of mid-winter conditions. Forecasts cluster tightly between 14–16°C, consistent with the August climatological average high near 13°C and seasonal outlooks from NIWA favoring near-average temperatures. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 15°C because short-range ensemble runs show minimal spread and no strong warming or cooling signals from southerly changes or clearer breaks. Minor model divergence on cloud cover or wind could still shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 13 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 13 de agosto?
15°C 56%
14°C 35%
16°C 8%
13°C 5%
NUEVO
$13,229 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,229 Vol.
13 ago 2026
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
5%
14°C
35%
15°C
56%
16°C
8%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 56%
14°C 35%
16°C 8%
13°C 5%
NUEVO
$13,229 Vol.
NUEVO
$13,229 Vol.
13 ago 2026
9°C or below
$429 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$579 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$368 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$872 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,780 Vol.
5%
14°C
$2,046 Vol.
35%
15°C
$2,651 Vol.
56%
16°C
$2,380 Vol.
8%
17°C
$655 Vol.
2%
18°C
$554 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$915 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and regional model consensus positions a 15°C daytime maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 13, reflecting light northerly flow, overcast skies, and limited diurnal warming typical of mid-winter conditions. Forecasts cluster tightly between 14–16°C, consistent with the August climatological average high near 13°C and seasonal outlooks from NIWA favoring near-average temperatures. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 15°C because short-range ensemble runs show minimal spread and no strong warming or cooling signals from southerly changes or clearer breaks. Minor model divergence on cloud cover or wind could still shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$13,229Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and regional model consensus positions a 15°C daytime maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 13, reflecting light northerly flow, overcast skies, and limited diurnal warming typical of mid-winter conditions. Forecasts cluster tightly between 14–16°C, consistent with the August climatological average high near 13°C and seasonal outlooks from NIWA favoring near-average temperatures. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 15°C because short-range ensemble runs show minimal spread and no strong warming or cooling signals from southerly changes or clearer breaks. Minor model divergence on cloud cover or wind could still shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$13,229Fecha de finalización
13 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and regional model consensus positions a 15°C daytime maximum as the most probable outcome for Wellington on August 13, reflecting light northerly flow, overcast skies, and limited diurnal warming typical of mid-winter conditions. Forecasts cluster tightly between 14–16°C, consistent with the August climatological average high near 13°C and seasonal outlooks from NIWA favoring near-average temperatures. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 15°C because short-range ensemble runs show minimal spread and no strong warming or cooling signals from southerly changes or clearer breaks. Minor model divergence on cloud cover or wind could still shift the exact peak by 1°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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