Recent forecasts highlight the approach of Tropical Storm Dolphin and associated frontal systems, which are expected to deliver persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall to Beijing on August 12, sharply limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling that caps daytime highs near 26–27°C. This contrasts with typical early-August climatology of 30–32°C under clearer, more stable conditions. Numerical weather prediction models show broad agreement on widespread precipitation and reduced diurnal temperature ranges, though minor variations in storm track or timing could shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment clusters around these outcomes, reflecting real-time integration of official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and the inherent uncertainty in convective rainfall forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 12 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 12 de agosto?
27°C 40%
26°C 31%
28°C 17%
25°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
8%
26°C
31%
27°C
40%
28°C
17%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 40%
26°C 31%
28°C 17%
25°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
22°C or below
$398 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$287 Vol.
1%
24°C
$516 Vol.
3%
25°C
$378 Vol.
8%
26°C
$186 Vol.
31%
27°C
$1,079 Vol.
40%
28°C
$123 Vol.
17%
29°C
$334 Vol.
6%
30°C
$83 Vol.
2%
31°C
$64 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$82 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts highlight the approach of Tropical Storm Dolphin and associated frontal systems, which are expected to deliver persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall to Beijing on August 12, sharply limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling that caps daytime highs near 26–27°C. This contrasts with typical early-August climatology of 30–32°C under clearer, more stable conditions. Numerical weather prediction models show broad agreement on widespread precipitation and reduced diurnal temperature ranges, though minor variations in storm track or timing could shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment clusters around these outcomes, reflecting real-time integration of official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and the inherent uncertainty in convective rainfall forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$3,532Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts highlight the approach of Tropical Storm Dolphin and associated frontal systems, which are expected to deliver persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall to Beijing on August 12, sharply limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling that caps daytime highs near 26–27°C. This contrasts with typical early-August climatology of 30–32°C under clearer, more stable conditions. Numerical weather prediction models show broad agreement on widespread precipitation and reduced diurnal temperature ranges, though minor variations in storm track or timing could shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment clusters around these outcomes, reflecting real-time integration of official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and the inherent uncertainty in convective rainfall forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,532Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts highlight the approach of Tropical Storm Dolphin and associated frontal systems, which are expected to deliver persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall to Beijing on August 12, sharply limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling that caps daytime highs near 26–27°C. This contrasts with typical early-August climatology of 30–32°C under clearer, more stable conditions. Numerical weather prediction models show broad agreement on widespread precipitation and reduced diurnal temperature ranges, though minor variations in storm track or timing could shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Trader sentiment clusters around these outcomes, reflecting real-time integration of official guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and the inherent uncertainty in convective rainfall forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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