Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows near 23–24°C in Tokyo on August 12 amid persistent Pacific high pressure, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 23°C and 24°C outcomes, with slight variations in shower timing or high-pressure strength able to shift the minimum by 1°C. Typical midsummer baselines hover near 24°C, but urban heat retention and humidity amplify sensitivity to forecast details. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 12 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 12 de agosto?
24°C 35%
23°C 27%
22°C 16%
21°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
6%
21°C
9%
22°C
16%
23°C
27%
24°C
35%
25°C
7%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 35%
23°C 27%
22°C 16%
21°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
18°C or below
$34 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$28 Vol.
1%
20°C
$6 Vol.
6%
21°C
$0 Vol.
9%
22°C
$26 Vol.
16%
23°C
$0 Vol.
27%
24°C
$92 Vol.
35%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$23 Vol.
1%
27°C
$34 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$34 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows near 23–24°C in Tokyo on August 12 amid persistent Pacific high pressure, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 23°C and 24°C outcomes, with slight variations in shower timing or high-pressure strength able to shift the minimum by 1°C. Typical midsummer baselines hover near 24°C, but urban heat retention and humidity amplify sensitivity to forecast details. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$276Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows near 23–24°C in Tokyo on August 12 amid persistent Pacific high pressure, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 23°C and 24°C outcomes, with slight variations in shower timing or high-pressure strength able to shift the minimum by 1°C. Typical midsummer baselines hover near 24°C, but urban heat retention and humidity amplify sensitivity to forecast details. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$276Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Japan Meteorological Agency guidance and ensemble model runs point to overnight lows near 23–24°C in Tokyo on August 12 amid persistent Pacific high pressure, increasing cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. These conditions differentiate the closely matched 23°C and 24°C outcomes, with slight variations in shower timing or high-pressure strength able to shift the minimum by 1°C. Typical midsummer baselines hover near 24°C, but urban heat retention and humidity amplify sensitivity to forecast details. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the market-implied odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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