Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a stable subtropical high-pressure system dominating Sichuan province through mid-August, favoring peak temperatures in the mid- to upper-30s Celsius for Chengdu on August 12. Urban heat island effects and the region's basin topography typically amplify daytime maxima by 1–2°C above surrounding areas, while variable afternoon convection and monsoon moisture could cap extremes. Historical August climatology shows averages near 35–37°C with occasional spikes above 38°C under clear, subsiding air; current model consensus aligns closely with the market's leading probabilities for 36–38°C outcomes, though updated runs may shift odds if a stronger frontal boundary emerges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 12 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 12 de agosto?
37°C 40%
38°C 26%
36°C 24%
35°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C
24%
37°C
40%
38°C
26%
39°C
6%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 40%
38°C 26%
36°C 24%
35°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 ago 2026
32°C or below
$113 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$17 Vol.
2%
34°C
$95 Vol.
3%
35°C
$222 Vol.
6%
36°C
$214 Vol.
24%
37°C
$312 Vol.
40%
38°C
$225 Vol.
26%
39°C
$197 Vol.
6%
40°C
$177 Vol.
3%
41°C
$45 Vol.
1%
42°C or higher
$56 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a stable subtropical high-pressure system dominating Sichuan province through mid-August, favoring peak temperatures in the mid- to upper-30s Celsius for Chengdu on August 12. Urban heat island effects and the region's basin topography typically amplify daytime maxima by 1–2°C above surrounding areas, while variable afternoon convection and monsoon moisture could cap extremes. Historical August climatology shows averages near 35–37°C with occasional spikes above 38°C under clear, subsiding air; current model consensus aligns closely with the market's leading probabilities for 36–38°C outcomes, though updated runs may shift odds if a stronger frontal boundary emerges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$1,672Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a stable subtropical high-pressure system dominating Sichuan province through mid-August, favoring peak temperatures in the mid- to upper-30s Celsius for Chengdu on August 12. Urban heat island effects and the region's basin topography typically amplify daytime maxima by 1–2°C above surrounding areas, while variable afternoon convection and monsoon moisture could cap extremes. Historical August climatology shows averages near 35–37°C with occasional spikes above 38°C under clear, subsiding air; current model consensus aligns closely with the market's leading probabilities for 36–38°C outcomes, though updated runs may shift odds if a stronger frontal boundary emerges.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,672Fecha de finalización
12 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to a stable subtropical high-pressure system dominating Sichuan province through mid-August, favoring peak temperatures in the mid- to upper-30s Celsius for Chengdu on August 12. Urban heat island effects and the region's basin topography typically amplify daytime maxima by 1–2°C above surrounding areas, while variable afternoon convection and monsoon moisture could cap extremes. Historical August climatology shows averages near 35–37°C with occasional spikes above 38°C under clear, subsiding air; current model consensus aligns closely with the market's leading probabilities for 36–38°C outcomes, though updated runs may shift odds if a stronger frontal boundary emerges.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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