Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF currently cluster the August 10 maximum in Amsterdam around 23–24 °C under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwesterly flow. This consensus, reflected in the market’s leading probabilities for 23 °C and 24 °C, stems from a building high-pressure ridge that favors clear conditions and strong daytime heating, offset by cooler Atlantic air advection. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with some runs showing slightly more cloud or stronger winds that could cap the peak near 22 °C, while a few warmer solutions reach 25 °C if subsidence strengthens further. Traders weigh these small but decisive differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed against historical August variability, where comparable setups have produced 1–2 °C forecast adjustments in the final 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 10 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 10 de agosto?
23°C 36%
24°C 28%
22°C 22%
21°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
19°C o menos
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
9%
22°C
22%
23°C
36%
24°C
28%
25°C
6%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
2%
29°C o más
1%
23°C 36%
24°C 28%
22°C 22%
21°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 ago 2026
19°C o menos
$18 Vol.
1%
20°C
$189 Vol.
2%
21°C
$3 Vol.
9%
22°C
$91 Vol.
22%
23°C
$40 Vol.
36%
24°C
$1 Vol.
28%
25°C
$1 Vol.
6%
26°C
$40 Vol.
3%
27°C
$17 Vol.
2%
28°C
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C o más
$31 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF currently cluster the August 10 maximum in Amsterdam around 23–24 °C under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwesterly flow. This consensus, reflected in the market’s leading probabilities for 23 °C and 24 °C, stems from a building high-pressure ridge that favors clear conditions and strong daytime heating, offset by cooler Atlantic air advection. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with some runs showing slightly more cloud or stronger winds that could cap the peak near 22 °C, while a few warmer solutions reach 25 °C if subsidence strengthens further. Traders weigh these small but decisive differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed against historical August variability, where comparable setups have produced 1–2 °C forecast adjustments in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$442Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF currently cluster the August 10 maximum in Amsterdam around 23–24 °C under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwesterly flow. This consensus, reflected in the market’s leading probabilities for 23 °C and 24 °C, stems from a building high-pressure ridge that favors clear conditions and strong daytime heating, offset by cooler Atlantic air advection. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with some runs showing slightly more cloud or stronger winds that could cap the peak near 22 °C, while a few warmer solutions reach 25 °C if subsidence strengthens further. Traders weigh these small but decisive differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed against historical August variability, where comparable setups have produced 1–2 °C forecast adjustments in the final 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$442Fecha de finalización
10 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF currently cluster the August 10 maximum in Amsterdam around 23–24 °C under mostly sunny skies and moderate northwesterly flow. This consensus, reflected in the market’s leading probabilities for 23 °C and 24 °C, stems from a building high-pressure ridge that favors clear conditions and strong daytime heating, offset by cooler Atlantic air advection. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with some runs showing slightly more cloud or stronger winds that could cap the peak near 22 °C, while a few warmer solutions reach 25 °C if subsidence strengthens further. Traders weigh these small but decisive differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed against historical August variability, where comparable setups have produced 1–2 °C forecast adjustments in the final 48 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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