Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a rebound in warmth across southern Germany after a brief cool interlude, with Munich likely seeing daytime maxima near 29–31°C on August 8 under building high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 30°C, reflecting both the climatological tail of early-August warmth (historical highs average ~25°C but frequently reach the upper 20s) and the immediate influence of an ongoing regional heat episode that produced 31–35°C readings earlier in the week. Official DWD and ECMWF guidance through the weekend will be the key near-term updates traders are monitoring, as small shifts in the 850 hPa temperature field or cloud cover could easily move the daily maximum across the narrow 29–31°C resolution bands.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 8 de agosto?
30°C 47%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
28°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
25%
30°C
47%
31°C
19%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 47%
29°C 25%
31°C 19%
28°C 7%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
25%
30°C
47%
31°C
19%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from European forecasting centers points to a rebound in warmth across southern Germany after a brief cool interlude, with Munich likely seeing daytime maxima near 29–31°C on August 8 under building high pressure and southerly flow. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 30°C, reflecting both the climatological tail of early-August warmth (historical highs average ~25°C but frequently reach the upper 20s) and the immediate influence of an ongoing regional heat episode that produced 31–35°C readings earlier in the week. Official DWD and ECMWF guidance through the weekend will be the key near-term updates traders are monitoring, as small shifts in the 850 hPa temperature field or cloud cover could easily move the daily maximum across the narrow 29–31°C resolution bands.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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